Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #41,065 of 84,120 nationally
Old Centre Historic District Eviction Risk: Moderate , Winchendon
Tract 25027701101 · Worcester County, MA · pop 4,663 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi
How risky is the Old Centre Historic District area of Winchendon for landlords? Census tract 25027701101 scores 6.3/10, the Elevated tier. That is riskier than roughly 83% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 48% of renter households, a severe level, and 20% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,061 a month against an average household income of $100,807 a year, roughly 13% of income at the averages. Renters make up 11% of occupied homes.
Risk score
4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 5%
Stable renters 6%
Owners 89%
Tract context
Occupied units1,697
Renter share11.0%
SVI overall0.36
Poverty rate10.6%
Median income$100,807
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
63
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
63
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Winchendon and the region
Centroid at 42.6644, -72.0275 · click any tract to drill in
Why Old Centre Historic District scores 4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Winchendon
6.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
10.6% poverty · this tract
2.7
Supply constraint
$1,061 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Winchendon
6.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Winchendon
8.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Winchendon
6.8
How Old Centre Historic District compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 36
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 39%Socioeconomic
- 7%Household composition
- 26%Racial/ethnic minority
- 75%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 11.1%Housing insecurity
- 8.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 13.1%Food insecurity
- 16.4%SNAP enrollment
- 8.1%Transit barriers
- 4.6%No health insurance
- 18.9%Frequent mental distress
- 30.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Old Centre Historic District
The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 8.3/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Winchendon, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Worcester County average of 6.0 and above the Massachusetts statewide average of 5.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 36th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
In CDC survey modeling, about 11.1% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 8.0% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 25027701101
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25027701101?
Census tract 25027701101 in the Old Centre Historic District neighborhood scores 4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 25027701101?
Median gross rent is $1,061/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 25027701101?
10.6% of residents in tract 25027701101 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,663.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 25027701101?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 36th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 39th, household 7th, minority 26th, housing 75th.
Q5
Is tract 25027701101 considered part of Old Centre Historic District?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25027701101 fall within Old Centre Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 25027701101 struggle to pay rent?
About 11.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 25027701101 compare to Winchendon overall?
Tract 25027701101 scores 4/10, lower than the parent city of Winchendon at 6.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Winchendon; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Winchendon
Top eight tracts in Winchendon ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Related