Census Tract · Ranked #35,899 of 84,120 nationally

Winchendon Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 25027702202 · Worcester County, MA · pop 1,619 · 3% of tract blocks fall in Winchendon

Eviction risk in Winchendon centers on tract 25027702202, which scores 6.5/10 (Elevated tier) and is home to 1,619 residents. That is riskier than about 87% of US census tracts.

About 48% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 5% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average household income is about $79,583 a year. Renters make up 14% of occupied homes.

Risk score

4.3

Moderate

Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 7% Stable renters 7% Owners 86%

Tract context

Occupied units648

Renter share14.4%

SVI overall0.20

Poverty rate9.7%

Median income$79,583

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Winchendon and the region

Centroid at 42.6810, -72.0818 · click any tract to drill in

Why Winchendon scores 4.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Winchendon

6.3

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.9

State political climate

Massachusetts legislature & governorship

6.2

Economic stress

9.7% poverty · this tract

2.4

Supply constraint

tract rent vs county FMR

5.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from Winchendon

6.9

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Winchendon

8.3

Housing court bias

Inherited from Winchendon

6.8

How Winchendon compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 20

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

26%Socioeconomic
29%Household composition
8%Racial/ethnic minority
29%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

11.6%Housing insecurity
7.7%Utility-shutoff threat
13.5%Food insecurity
16.0%SNAP enrollment
8.0%Transit barriers
5.3%No health insurance
19.4%Frequent mental distress
30.4%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Winchendon

The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 8.3/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Winchendon, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Worcester County average of 6.0 and above the Massachusetts statewide average of 5.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 20th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

In CDC survey modeling, about 11.6% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 7.7% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 25027702202

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25027702202?

Census tract 25027702202 in Winchendon scores 4.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the poverty rate in tract 25027702202?

9.7% of residents in tract 25027702202 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,619.

How socially vulnerable is tract 25027702202?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 20th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 26th, household 29th, minority 8th, housing 29th.

What share of households in tract 25027702202 struggle to pay rent?

About 11.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 25027702202 compare to Winchendon overall?

Tract 25027702202 scores 4.3/10, lower than the parent city of Winchendon at 6.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Winchendon; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Winchendon

Top eight tracts in Winchendon ranked by composite eviction-risk score.