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Neighborhood · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally

Carriage Town Eviction Risk: Moderate , Flint

Tract 26049001400 · Genesee County, MI · pop 1,169 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi

With a score of 5.4/10, tract 26049001400 in the Carriage Town area of Flint, MI reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. The severe-burden share is 51%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 15% Stable renters 13% Owners 72%
Tract context
Occupied units390
Renter share27.9%
SVI overall0.74
Poverty rate38.1%
Median income$41,250

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 5 tracts In Carriage Town
Very High
Within parent city
39 th percentile
Rank, 39th percentileLowHigh
#26 of 42 tracts In Flint
Low
Within county
71 th percentile
Rank, 71st percentileLowHigh
#40 of 134 tracts In Genesee County
Elevated
Within state
82 th percentile
Rank, 82nd percentileLowHigh
#527 of 2,972 tracts In Michigan
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Flint and the region

Centroid at 43.0271, -83.7017 · click any tract to drill in

Why Carriage Town scores 5.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Flint
6.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.5
State political climate
Michigan legislature & governorship
3.3
Economic stress
38.1% poverty · this tract
9.5
Supply constraint
$521 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Flint
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Flint
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Flint
5.0

How Carriage Town compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Carriage Town risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.4This tracttract 0014004.0Flintparent city4.3Countyavg tract in county4.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 74

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Carriage Town. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Carriage Town

SNAP participation runs 46.4% against 15.2% nationally. The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 9.7/10.

Average gross rent is $521, 43% below the Flint average. Running hot, economic stress reads 9.5/10.

The poverty rate is 38%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1/10.

Housing insecurity runs 29.7% against 14.2% nationally. Against Genesee County at 45.3%, 52% of renters here are cost-burdened. It sits 1.1 points above the Genesee County average of 4.3.

In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. On the national scale it lands near the 70th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Social vulnerability reads 7.7/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Rent consumes only 15% of average household income of $41,250, an unusually wide affordability cushion. Statewide the MI average is 4.2, so this tract runs 1.2 points hotter.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 26049001400

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 26049001400?

Census tract 26049001400 in the Carriage Town neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 26049001400?

Median gross rent is $521/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 52% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 26049001400?

38.1% of residents in tract 26049001400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,169.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 26049001400?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 74th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 70th, household 77th, minority 85th, housing 53th.
Q5

Is tract 26049001400 considered part of Carriage Town?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 26049001400 fall within Carriage Town (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 26049001400 struggle to pay rent?

About 29.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 25.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 26049001400 compare to Flint overall?

Tract 26049001400 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Flint at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Flint eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 26049001400 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Flint

Top eight tracts in Flint ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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