Carriage Town Eviction Risk: Moderate , Flint

The severe-burden share is 22%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10.

The poverty rate is 25%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. It sits 1.1 points above the Genesee County average of 4.3.

Average gross rent is $1,064, 16% above the Flint average. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 17.0% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Housing insecurity runs 21.5% against 14.2% nationally.

This ground was mapped B ("Still Desirable") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Flint. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. That is riskier than roughly 70% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 7.5/10.

Statewide the MI average is 4.2, so this tract runs 1.2 points hotter. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured. Rent takes 30% or more of income for 43% of renters.

Annual rent works out to 25% of average household income of $51,633.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.