Flint Eviction Risk: Moderate

What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 9.7/10. The severe-burden share is 22%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Annualized rent equals 33% of average household income of $39,083, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.

On the softer side, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10. Disability prevalence runs 44.6% against 31.5% nationally. The poverty rate is 24%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.

Housing insecurity runs 25.3% against 14.2% nationally. Against the Genesee County average of 4.3, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.1 points.

At $1,078 a month, rents run 18% over what the rest of Flint commands. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. Nationally it ranks #24,859 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

Social vulnerability reads 5.8/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the MI average is 4.2, so this tract runs 1.2 points hotter.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.