3 census tracts · pop 6,101 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 6/10
· range 6–6
Northmoor spans 3 census tracts of Saginaw, MI and houses 6,101 people. The Eviction Risk Score is 6/10, in the Elevated tier. Cost burden runs 60% against 39.4% citywide, putting Northmoor 20.5% over its own city.
The strongest single driver of the headline number is housing-court posture at 9.1/10. 25% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. On the high side is rent-regulation exposure at 8.8/10.
Food insecurity affects 38.3% of adults, 20.5 points above the national rate. The poverty rate is 31%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than the filing statistics suggest. Running hot is tenant-organizing strength at 8.3/10.
Disability prevalence reaches 44.0% against a 31.5% national average, which raises the odds a reasonable-accommodation request accompanies any dispute. At $831 a month, rents sit 10% under what the rest of Saginaw commands. That places it #1 of 4 neighborhoods in Saginaw.
The closest comparables inside the same city are Buena Vista and Old Saginaw City. Social vulnerability runs high at 8/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input.
With little internal variation, 6/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.
Risk score
6
Elevated
3 tracts · population-weighted
Northmoor vs SaginawHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority64%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport42%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Northmoor
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
25.9%Housing insecurity
21.4%Utility shutoff threat
38.1%Food insecurity
41.0%SNAP enrollment
14.3%No health insurance
44.0%Any disability
Frequently asked
About Northmoor
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Northmoor?
Northmoor scores 6/10 (Elevated tier) across 3 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Northmoor compare to Saginaw overall?
Northmoor scores 1.4 points higher than Saginaw overall (4.6/10). Renters spend 60% of income on rent vs 39% citywide. Average rent: $831 vs $922.
Q3
What is the average rent in Northmoor?
Average gross rent in Northmoor is $831/month (pop-weighted across 3 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 60% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Northmoor residents are renters?
48% of Northmoor households are renter-occupied (vs 40% in Saginaw). The neighborhood has 6,101 residents.
Q5
Is Northmoor a high social-vulnerability area?
Northmoor sits in the 78th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
Which tracts in Northmoor have the highest eviction risk?
The highest-risk constituent tract in Northmoor is census tract 26145002000 (score 6/10). Across the 3 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 6 to 6, a spread of 0 points.
Q7
How safe is Northmoor for landlords?
Northmoor carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (6/10). Pop-weighted across 3 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Saginaw as a whole (4.6/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8
What is the demographic breakdown of Northmoor?
Northmoor has 6,276 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (48.2%), Black (non-Hispanic) (30.6%), Hispanic / Latino (19.2%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
