Buena Vista Eviction Risk: Moderate

What pushes the score up most is housing-court posture at 9.2/10. On the high side is rent-regulation exposure at 9.1/10. The poverty rate is 33%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than the filing statistics suggest.

Severe burden reaches 23%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. Against a Saginaw baseline of 39.4%, 49% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.

Disability prevalence reaches 50.8% against a 31.5% national average, which raises the odds a reasonable-accommodation request accompanies any dispute. Sitting well above the midpoint is economic stress at 8.2/10. At $830 a month, rents sit 10% under what the rest of Saginaw commands.

Among the 4 mapped neighborhoods of Saginaw, it ranks #2 by risk, the middle third. For a like-for-like read, Northmoor and Old Saginaw City score within a fraction of it. Social vulnerability runs high at 9.3/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input.

The 3 tracts here are tightly clustered, 0.4 points apart at the extremes.

The area figure travels well to individual addresses here, though the per-tract table below still carries the detail. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.