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Neighborhood · Saginaw, MI

Old Saginaw City Eviction Risk: Moderate

6 census tracts · pop 15,070 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.8/10 · range 4.5–6

Old Saginaw City spans 6 census tracts of Saginaw, MI and houses 15,070 people. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 5.8/10, Moderate tier. Severe burden reaches 40%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears.

Against a Saginaw baseline of 39.4%, 68% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line. The strongest single driver of the headline number is housing-court posture at 9.1/10.

SNAP participation is 35.5% of households versus 15.2% nationally. On the high side is rent-regulation exposure at 8.8/10. The poverty rate is 32%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

Sitting well above the midpoint is tenant-organizing strength at 8.3/10. Food insecurity affects 33.6% of adults, 15.8 points above the national rate. Scores across the 6 constituent tracts range from 4.5 to 6. A 1.5-point internal spread means block-level underwriting beats area-level here.

Among the 4 mapped neighborhoods of Saginaw, it ranks #3 by risk, the lower third. The closest comparables inside the same city are Buena Vista and Northmoor. Social vulnerability runs high at 7.9/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input.

Average gross rent runs $937, close to the Saginaw average.

For a specific building, read the per-tract breakdown below rather than the 5.8 headline, because the internal range is too wide to average safely. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
5.8
Moderate
6 tracts · population-weighted
Old Saginaw City vs Saginaw How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
67.8% +72%
Saginaw: 39.4%
Average gross rent
$937 +2%
Saginaw: $922
Average HH income
$45,023 +21%
Saginaw: $37,298
Poverty rate
31.5% -6%
Saginaw: 33.5%
Renter share
38.2% -4%
Saginaw: 40.0%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Old Saginaw City and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 6 tracts span score 4.5–6

Why Old Saginaw City scores 5.8

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.3–3.3 across tracts
3.3
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts
5.0
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Rent control risk
68% of income on rent · Range 8.8–8.8 across tracts
8.8
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.1–3.1 across tracts
3.1
Tenant organizing strength
38% renter households · Range 8.3–8.3 across tracts
8.3
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 9.1–9.1 across tracts
9.1
Economic stress
31.5% below poverty line · Range 3.3–10.0 across tracts
7.4
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.7–5.2 across tracts
4.0
Risk score comparison

Old Saginaw City vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Old Saginaw City score vs. parent city, state, U.S.5.8Old Saginaw CityNeighborhood4.6Parent cityhost city4.2Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Old Saginaw City?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 1.5 points from 4.5 to 6. Moderate variation across constituent tracts.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

6 tracts in Old Saginaw City

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
26145001600 6 3,620 56% $1,060
26145001500 6 3,512 70% $888
26145001700 6 2,516 46% $699
26145001300 6 1,950 83% $1,005
26145000600 5.8 1,191 100% $1,004
26145001400 4.5 2,281 76% $988
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 77

Pop-weighted across 6 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 86%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 66%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 68%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 52%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Old Saginaw City

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Old Saginaw City

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Old Saginaw City?

Old Saginaw City scores 5.8/10 (Moderate tier) across 6 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Old Saginaw City compare to Saginaw overall?

Old Saginaw City scores 1.2 points higher than Saginaw overall (4.6/10). Renters spend 68% of income on rent vs 39% citywide. Average rent: $937 vs $922.
Q3

What is the average rent in Old Saginaw City?

Average gross rent in Old Saginaw eviction risk City is $937/month (pop-weighted across 6 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 68% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Old Saginaw City residents are renters?

38% of Old Saginaw City households are renter-occupied (vs 40% in Saginaw). The neighborhood has 15,070 residents.
Q5

Is Old Saginaw City a high social-vulnerability area?

Old Saginaw City sits in the 77th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Old Saginaw City have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Old Saginaw City is census tract 26145001600 (score 6/10). Across the 6 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 4.5 to 6, a spread of 1.5 points.
Q7

How safe is Old Saginaw City for landlords?

Old Saginaw eviction risk City carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.8/10). Pop-weighted across 6 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Saginaw as a whole (4.6/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Old Saginaw City?

Old Saginaw City has 14,578 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (48.1%), Black (non-Hispanic) (29.1%), Hispanic / Latino (16.3%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Old Saginaw City

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Saginaw

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Old Saginaw City.

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