Parkridge Southside Eviction Risk: Elevated

What pushes the score up most is economic stress at 10/10. On the high side is tenant-organizing strength at 9.8/10. The poverty rate is 41%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

25.6% of adults report being unable to pay a utility bill, against a 9.2% national figure. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. 30% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. Set annual rent against average household income of $30,185 and the ratio lands at 37%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.

CDC survey data puts housing insecurity at 30.4% of adults, against 14.2% nationally. 74% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building two streets over. Running cool is supply constraint, at 1/10.

The filing record is not thin: 235 evictions logged in this tract. At $930 a month, rents sit 14% under what the rest of Ypsilanti commands.

Filing activity peaked in 2014 at 41.6% of renter households. That places it #1 of 10 neighborhoods in Ypsilanti.

One tract means one number: 7.4/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.