Willow Village Eviction Risk: Elevated

Cost burden runs 47% against 33.4% citywide, putting Willow Village 13.3% over its own city. Set annual rent against average household income of $58,093 and the ratio lands at 32%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. 20% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate.

Filings are well documented here: 488 across 2 observed tracts. The poverty rate is 17%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

The worst year on record was 2014, when filings touched 52.0% of renter households. That places it #8 of 10 neighborhoods in Ypsilanti. Judgments average 11.7% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order.

For a like-for-like read, West Willow and Gault Village score within a fraction of it. Social vulnerability runs high at 7.8/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input. Its 2 tracts score within 0.9 points of one another, so the area figure travels well to individual addresses.

31% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

With little internal variation, 6.1/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.