Barton-McFarland Eviction Risk: Elevated , Detroit

The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 9.7/10. Severe burden reaches 30%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Disability prevalence runs 50.0% against 31.5% nationally. Annualized rent equals 37% of average household income of $31,276, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. Cost burden runs 58% here against 46.6% across Wayne County.

The poverty rate is 31%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 2/10. Against the Wayne County average of 4.6, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.4 points.

On the softer side, supply constraint reads 2/10. At $969 a month, rents run 10% under what the rest of Detroit commands.

This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Detroit. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. That is riskier than roughly 78% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 8.8/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.