Nardin Park Eviction Risk: Elevated , Detroit

The severe-burden share is 35%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 39.9% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Housing insecurity runs 43.5% against 14.2% nationally.

On the high side, court filing pressure reads 9.7/10. Average gross rent is $640, 40% below the Detroit average. The poverty rate is 40%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.

Running cool, supply constraint reads 1/10. This is renter territory: 71% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. It sits 1.4 points above the Wayne County average of 4.6.

This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Detroit. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. On the national scale it lands near the 78th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 7.3/10. Statewide the MI average is 4.2, so this tract runs 1.8 points hotter.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured. Rent takes 30% or more of income for 45% of renters.

Annual rent works out to 23% of average household income of $32,817.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.