Nardin Park Eviction Risk: Elevated

Severe burden reaches 32%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. 48% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, clearly above the Detroit rate of 35.9%. The poverty rate is 39%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

The strongest single driver of the headline number is economic stress at 9.2/10. Running cool is supply constraint, at 1.7/10. Well under the midpoint is rent-regulation exposure, at 2/10.

At $874 a month, rents sit 19% under what the rest of Detroit commands. Disability prevalence reaches 45.4% against a 31.5% national average, which raises the odds a reasonable-accommodation request accompanies any dispute. That places it #3 of 130 neighborhoods in Detroit.

For a like-for-like read, Chandler Park and Mount Olivet score within a fraction of it. Social vulnerability runs high at 8.6/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input.

The 4 tracts here are tightly clustered, 0 points apart at the extremes. Annual rent works out to 30% of average household income of $34,460.

With little internal variation, 6/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.