North End Eviction Risk: Elevated , Detroit

The dominant input is court filing pressure at 9.7/10. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1/10.

The poverty rate is 36%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. On the high side, economic stress reads 8.9/10. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 25.3% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

Housing insecurity runs 29.9% against 14.2% nationally. Against the Wayne County average of 4.6, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.4 points.

Severe burden reaches 15%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Average gross rent is $802, 19% below the Hamtramck average.

This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Detroit. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. On the national scale it lands near the 78th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 8.7/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Statewide the MI average is 4.2, so this tract runs 1.8 points hotter. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured.

Annual rent works out to 27% of average household income of $36,292.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.