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Neighborhood · Blaine, MN

The Lakes Eviction Risk: Lower

2 census tracts · pop 8,579 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 1.3/10 · range 1.1–1.7

The Lakes is a white (non-hispanic) neighborhood in Blaine with 2 census tracts and a population of 8,579 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 1.3/10 (Lower tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 46% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 32% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,894/month sits 11% higher than the Blaine citywide average ($1,705).

Risk score
1.3
Lower
2 tracts · population-weighted
The Lakes vs Blaine How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
45.7% +69%
Blaine: 27.1%
Average gross rent
$1,894 +11%
Blaine: $1,705
Average HH income
$137,998 +33%
Blaine: $103,382
Poverty rate
5.0% -22%
Blaine: 6.5%
Renter share
12.9% -12%
Blaine: 14.7%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across The Lakes and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 1.1–1.7

Why The Lakes scores 1.3

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 4.3–4.3 across tracts
4.3
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 4.9–4.9 across tracts
4.9
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 5.4–5.4 across tracts
5.4
Rent control risk
46% of income on rent · Range 5.6–5.6 across tracts
5.6
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 4.6–4.6 across tracts
4.6
Tenant organizing strength
13% renter households · Range 3.7–3.7 across tracts
3.7
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 4.7–4.7 across tracts
4.7
Economic stress
5.0% below poverty line · Range 1.0–2.0 across tracts
1.4
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 5.7–7.0 across tracts
6.2
Risk score comparison

The Lakes vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

The Lakes score vs. parent city, state, U.S.The Lakes: 1.31.3The LakesNeighborhoodParent city: 4.94.9Parent cityhost cityState: 5.25.2Stateavg in stateU.S.: 4.74.7U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in The Lakes

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
27003050820 1.7 3,506 28% $2,028
27003050819 1.1 5,073 58% $1,801
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 13

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 7%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 39%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 42%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 18%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in The Lakes

Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 37Total filings (sum)
  • 4.62%Avg annual filing rate
  • 10.1%Peak year (2012)
  • 6.12%Latest filed (2012)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in The Lakes

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About The Lakes

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for The Lakes?

The Lakes scores 1.3/10 (Lower tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does The Lakes compare to Blaine overall?

The Lakes scores 3.6 points lower than Blaine overall (4.9/10). Renters spend 46% of income on rent vs 27% citywide. Average rent: $1,894 vs $1,705.
Q3

What is the average rent in The Lakes?

Average gross rent in The Lakes is $1,894/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of The Lakes residents are renters?

13% of The Lakes households are renter-occupied (vs 15% in Blaine). The neighborhood has 8,579 residents.
Q5

Is The Lakes a high social-vulnerability area?

The Lakes sits in the 13th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in The Lakes have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in The Lakes is census tract 27003050820 (score 1.7/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 1.1 to 1.7, a spread of 0.6 points.
Q7

How safe is The Lakes for landlords?

The Lakes carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (1.3/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Blaine as a whole (4.9/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of The Lakes?

The Lakes has 8,490 residents (White (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (66.9%), Black (non-Hispanic) (13.5%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (11.9%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near The Lakes

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Blaine

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to The Lakes.

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