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Census Tract · Ranked #20,506 of 84,120 nationally

Fridley Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 27003051102 · Anoka County, MN · pop 4,325

27003051102 is a census tract in Fridley, MN. It scores 5.8/10 for landlords. Population here is 4,325. It sits 1.6 points above the Anoka County average of 4.2.

Risk score
5.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 3% Stable renters 5% Owners 92%
Tract context
Occupied units1,552
Renter share7.6%
SVI overall0.62
Poverty rate13.0%
Median income$78,625

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 7 tracts In Fridley
Elevated
Within county
88 th percentile
Rank, 88th percentileLowHigh
#12 of 90 tracts In Anoka County
High
Within state
85 th percentile
Rank, 85th percentileLowHigh
#233 of 1,502 tracts In Minnesota
High
National
76 th percentile
Rank, 76th percentileLowHigh
#20,506 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Fridley and the region

Centroid at 45.0967, -93.2537 · click any tract to drill in

Why Fridley scores 5.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Fridley
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.9
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
13.0% poverty · this tract
3.2
Supply constraint
$1,260 rent vs county FMR
2.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Fridley
6.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Fridley
7.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Fridley
5.9

How Fridley compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Fridley risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.85.8This tracttract 051102Fridley: 4.64.6Fridleyparent cityCounty: 4.24.2Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.54.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 62

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 134Total filings over 4 yrs
  • 12.58%Avg annual filing rate
  • 16.2%Peak (2012)
  • 43Filings in 2012 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2009 to 2012
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 270030511022009: 27 filings (9.44/100 renter HHs)2010: 33 filings (13.04/100 renter HHs)2011: 31 filings (11.65/100 renter HHs)2012: 43 filings (16.17/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 59% over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Fridley

What pushes it up most is tenant-organizing strength at 7.7/10. 16% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Running hot, local political climate reads 7.5/10.

On the softer side, supply constraint reads 2.5/10. The filing record is not thin: 134 evictions over 4 years of observation. Filings peaked in 2012 at 16.2% of renter households.

In a typical year about 12.6% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 76% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Only 8% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 6.5/10. Statewide the MN average is 4.5, so this tract runs 1.3 points hotter.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 27003051102

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27003051102?

Census tract 27003051102 in Fridley scores 5.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 27003051102?

Median gross rent is $1,260/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 27003051102?

13.0% of residents in tract 27003051102 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,325.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 27003051102?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 62th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 41th, household 45th, minority 54th, housing 88th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27003051102?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 134 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 27003051102 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 12.58% of renter households, peaking at 16.2% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

What share of households in tract 27003051102 struggle to pay rent?

About 12.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 27003051102 compare to Fridley overall?

Tract 27003051102 scores 5.8/10, higher than the parent city of Fridley at 4.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Fridley eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Fridley

Top eight tracts in Fridley ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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