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Census Tract · Ranked #18,163 of 84,120 nationally

Fridley Eviction Risk: Elevated

Tract 27003051103 · Anoka County, MN · pop 3,921

Tract 27003051103 sits in Fridley eviction risk, MN, carrying an eviction-risk score of 6/10. It is home to 3,921 residents. 27% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score
6
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 19% Stable renters 15% Owners 66%
Tract context
Occupied units1,229
Renter share34.5%
SVI overall0.76
Poverty rate20.0%
Median income$86,514

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 7 tracts In Fridley
Very High
Within county
96 th percentile
Rank, 96th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 90 tracts In Anoka County
Very High
Within state
87 th percentile
Rank, 87th percentileLowHigh
#201 of 1,502 tracts In Minnesota
High
National
78 th percentile
Rank, 78th percentileLowHigh
#18,163 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Fridley and the region

Centroid at 45.0965, -93.2367 · click any tract to drill in

Why Fridley scores 6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Fridley
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.9
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
20.0% poverty · this tract
5.0
Supply constraint
$1,474 rent vs county FMR
3.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Fridley
6.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Fridley
7.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Fridley
5.9

How Fridley compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Fridley risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 6.06.0This tracttract 051103Fridley: 4.64.6Fridleyparent cityCounty: 4.24.2Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.54.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 76

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 163Total filings over 4 yrs
  • 8.40%Avg annual filing rate
  • 9.5%Peak (2009)
  • 43Filings in 2012 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2009 to 2012
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 270030511032009: 44 filings (9.54/100 renter HHs)2010: 35 filings (7.61/100 renter HHs)2011: 41 filings (8.02/100 renter HHs)2012: 43 filings (8.41/100 renter HHs)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Fridley

Against Anoka County at 43.4%, 56% of renters here are cost-burdened. It sits 1.8 points above the Anoka County average of 4.2.

The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 7.7/10. Running hot, local political climate reads 7.5/10. The poverty rate is 20%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.

Court records carry 163 eviction filings across 4 observed years. Average gross rent is $1,474, 11% above the Fridley average. Filings peaked in 2009 at 9.5% of renter households.

In a typical year about 8.4% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #18,163 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 7.9/10.

Statewide the MN average is 4.5, so this tract runs 1.5 points hotter. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.

Annual rent works out to 20% of average household income of $86,514.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 27003051103

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27003051103?

Census tract 27003051103 in Fridley scores 6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 27003051103?

Median gross rent is $1,474/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 56% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 27003051103?

20.0% of residents in tract 27003051103 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,921.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 27003051103?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 76th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 70th, household 63th, minority 69th, housing 77th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27003051103?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 163 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 27003051103 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 8.40% of renter households, peaking at 9.5% in 2009. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

What share of households in tract 27003051103 struggle to pay rent?

About 16.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 27003051103 compare to Fridley overall?

Tract 27003051103 scores 6/10, higher than the parent city of Fridley at 4.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Fridley eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Fridley

Top eight tracts in Fridley ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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