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Census Tract · Ranked #18,163 of 84,120 nationally

Fridley Eviction Risk: Elevated

Tract 27003051202 · Anoka County, MN · pop 4,248

Census tract 27003051202 covers part of Fridley, MN, and scores 6/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 4,248 residents. It sits 1.8 points above the Anoka County average of 4.2.

Risk score
6
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 24% Stable renters 22% Owners 54%
Tract context
Occupied units1,600
Renter share45.6%
SVI overall0.89
Poverty rate19.2%
Median income$60,643

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
83 th percentile
Rank, 83rd percentileLowHigh
#2 of 7 tracts In Fridley
High
Within county
97 th percentile
Rank, 97th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 90 tracts In Anoka County
Very High
Within state
87 th percentile
Rank, 87th percentileLowHigh
#201 of 1,502 tracts In Minnesota
High
National
78 th percentile
Rank, 78th percentileLowHigh
#18,163 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Fridley and the region

Centroid at 45.0764, -93.2548 · click any tract to drill in

Why Fridley scores 6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Fridley
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.9
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
19.2% poverty · this tract
4.8
Supply constraint
$1,350 rent vs county FMR
3.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Fridley
6.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Fridley
7.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Fridley
5.9

How Fridley compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Fridley risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 6.06.0This tracttract 051202Fridley: 4.64.6Fridleyparent cityCounty: 4.24.2Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.54.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 89

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 64Total filings over 4 yrs
  • 3.97%Avg annual filing rate
  • 5.2%Peak (2012)
  • 21Filings in 2012 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2009 to 2012
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 270030512022009: 13 filings (3.32/100 renter HHs)2010: 13 filings (3.08/100 renter HHs)2011: 17 filings (4.24/100 renter HHs)2012: 21 filings (5.24/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 62% over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Fridley

The score leans hardest on tenant-organizing strength at 7.7/10. 52% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, higher than the Anoka County average of 43.4%. Severe burden reaches 15%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Running hot, local political climate reads 7.5/10. The poverty rate is 19%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 64 filings here across 4 tracked years.

On the softer side, supply constraint reads 3/10. Filings peaked in 2012 at 5.2% of renter households. In a typical year about 4.0% of renter households face a filing.

Nationally it ranks #18,163 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 9/10.

Statewide the MN average is 4.5, so this tract runs 1.5 points hotter.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 27003051202

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27003051202?

Census tract 27003051202 in Fridley scores 6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 27003051202?

Median gross rent is $1,350/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 52% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 27003051202?

19.2% of residents in tract 27003051202 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,248.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 27003051202?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 89th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 75th, household 82th, minority 65th, housing 95th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27003051202?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 64 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 27003051202 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.97% of renter households, peaking at 5.2% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

What share of households in tract 27003051202 struggle to pay rent?

About 15.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 27003051202 compare to Fridley overall?

Tract 27003051202 scores 6/10, higher than the parent city of Fridley at 4.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Fridley eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Fridley

Top eight tracts in Fridley ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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