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Census Tract · Ranked #83,884 of 84,120 nationally

Victoria Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 27019090401 · Carver County, MN · pop 7,713 · 41% of tract blocks fall in Victoria

Landlord eviction risk in census tract 27019090401 (Victoria in Carver County, Minnesota) comes in at $1/10, the Moderate tier. That is riskier than about 12% of US census tracts.

About 35% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a high level, and 10% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average household income is about $195,313 a year. About 2% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
1
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 1% Stable renters 2% Owners 97%
Tract context
Occupied units2,535
Renter share2.4%
SVI overall0.01
Poverty rate1.4%
Median income$195,313

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Victoria
Very High
Within county
8 th percentile
Rank, 8th percentileLowHigh
#23 of 25 tracts In Carver County
Very Low
Within state
1 th percentile
Rank, 1st percentileLowHigh
#1,489 of 1,502 tracts In Minnesota
Very Low
National
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#83,884 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Very Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Victoria and the region

Centroid at 44.8536, -93.7264 · click any tract to drill in

Why Victoria scores 1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Victoria
5.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.8
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
1.4% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
tract rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Victoria
2.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Victoria
2.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Victoria
2.5

How Victoria compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Victoria risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 1.01.0This tracttract 090401Victoria: 4.64.6Victoriaparent cityCounty: 1.61.6Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.53.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 1

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Victoria

The score leans hardest on supply constraint at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Victoria, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Carver County average of 4.4 and below the Minnesota statewide average of 5.0. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 1st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

In CDC survey modeling, about 5.7% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 3.6% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 27019090401

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27019090401?

Census tract 27019090401 in Victoria scores 1/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the poverty rate in tract 27019090401?

1.4% of residents in tract 27019090401 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,713.
Q3

How socially vulnerable is tract 27019090401?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 1th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 1th, household 6th, minority 13th, housing 16th.
Q4

What share of households in tract 27019090401 struggle to pay rent?

About 5.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q5

How does tract 27019090401 compare to Victoria overall?

Tract 27019090401 scores 1/10, lower than the parent city of Victoria at 4.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Victoria; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Victoria

Top eight tracts in Victoria ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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