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Census Tract · Ranked #82,639 of 84,120 nationally

Mendota Heights Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 27037060604 · Dakota County, MN · pop 3,086 · 72% of tract blocks fall in Mendota Heights

Landlord eviction risk in census tract 27037060604 (Mendota Heights, Minnesota) comes in at 5.5/10, the Moderate tier. It lands near the 57th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

49% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 23% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $2,036 monthly, set against $143,642 in average yearly household income, roughly 17% of income at the averages. Renters make up 11% of occupied homes.

Risk score
1.1
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 5% Stable renters 6% Owners 89%
Tract context
Occupied units1,483
Renter share11.3%
SVI overall0.17
Poverty rate2.6%
Median income$143,642

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
33 th percentile
Rank, 33rd percentileLowHigh
#3 of 4 tracts In Mendota Heights
Low
Within county
14 th percentile
Rank, 14th percentileLowHigh
#91 of 106 tracts In Dakota County
Very Low
Within state
6 th percentile
Rank, 6th percentileLowHigh
#1,413 of 1,502 tracts In Minnesota
Very Low
National
2 th percentile
Rank, 2nd percentileLowHigh
#82,639 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Very Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Mendota Heights and the region

Centroid at 44.8897, -93.1445 · click any tract to drill in

Why Mendota Heights scores 1.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Mendota Heights
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
2.6% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,036 rent vs county FMR
7.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Mendota Heights
4.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Mendota Heights
4.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Mendota Heights
3.4

How Mendota Heights compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Mendota Heights risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 1.11.1This tracttract 060604Mendota Heights: 4.74.7Mendota Heightsparent cityCounty: 2.12.1Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.53.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 17

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 7Total filings over 2 yrs
  • 1.76%Avg annual filing rate
  • 2.4%Peak (2009)
  • 2Filings in 2010 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2009 to 2013
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 270370606042009: 5 filings (2.38/100 renter HHs)2010: 2 filings (1.14/100 renter HHs)2011: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2012: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2013: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 100% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Mendota Heights

The heaviest input here is supply constraint at 7.1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Mendota Heights, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Dakota County average of 5.3 and above the Minnesota statewide average of 5.0. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 17th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 7 eviction filings here over 2 tracked years, with about 1.8% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 2.4% of renter households in 2009.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 27037060604

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27037060604?

Census tract 27037060604 in Mendota Heights scores 1.1/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 27037060604?

Median gross rent is $2,036/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 27037060604?

2.6% of residents in tract 27037060604 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,086.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 27037060604?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 17th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 2th, household 31th, minority 20th, housing 60th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27037060604?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 7 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 27037060604 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.76% of renter households, peaking at 2.4% in 2009. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

What share of households in tract 27037060604 struggle to pay rent?

About 3.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 2.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 27037060604 compare to Mendota Heights overall?

Tract 27037060604 scores 1.1/10, lower than the parent city of Mendota Heights at 4.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Mendota Heights; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Mendota Heights

Top eight tracts in Mendota Heights ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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