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Neighborhood · Brooklyn Center, MN

Shingle Creek Eviction Risk: Moderate

3 census tracts · pop 13,059 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.5/10 · range 5–6

Shingle Creek takes in 3 census tracts of Brooklyn Center, MN, population 13,059. The Eviction Risk Score is 5.5/10, in the Moderate tier. Cost burden runs 54% against 30.2% citywide, putting Shingle Creek 24.0% over its own city.

25% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 7.9/10. Internally this is not one market. Tract scores span 5 to 6, so two buildings inside the same boundary can carry materially different risk.

Filings are well documented here: 606 across 3 observed tracts. The worst year on record was 2013, when filings touched 10.7% of renter households.

Judgments average 2.5% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order. Social vulnerability runs high at 7.7/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input. Average gross rent runs $1,430, close to the Brooklyn Center average.

Annual rent works out to 25% of average household income of $69,645. 32% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

For a specific building, read the per-tract breakdown below rather than the 5.5 headline, because the internal range is too wide to average safely. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
5.5
Moderate
3 tracts · population-weighted
Shingle Creek vs Brooklyn Center How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
54.2% +79%
Brooklyn Center: 30.2%
Average gross rent
$1,430 +4%
Brooklyn Center: $1,376
Average HH income
$69,645 -3%
Brooklyn Center: $72,009
Poverty rate
12.8% +11%
Brooklyn Center: 11.5%
Renter share
32.0% -12%
Brooklyn Center: 36.5%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Shingle Creek and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 3 tracts span score 5–6

Why Shingle Creek scores 5.5

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 4.3–4.3 across tracts
4.3
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 7.2–7.2 across tracts
7.2
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 7.4–7.4 across tracts
7.4
Rent control risk
54% of income on rent · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts
6.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.9–3.9 across tracts
3.9
Tenant organizing strength
32% renter households · Range 7.9–7.9 across tracts
7.9
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 6.1–6.1 across tracts
6.1
Economic stress
12.8% below poverty line · Range 1.5–4.2 across tracts
3.2
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.8–6.4 across tracts
3.5
Risk score comparison

Shingle Creek vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Shingle Creek score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Shingle Creek: 5.55.5Shingle CreekNeighborhoodParent city: 4.64.6Parent cityhost cityState: 4.54.5Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Shingle Creek?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 1 points from 5 to 6. Moderate variation across constituent tracts.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

3 tracts in Shingle Creek

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
27053020400 6 5,366 62% $1,144
27053020500 5.4 3,734 48% $1,914
27053020304 5 3,959 50% $1,361
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 74

Pop-weighted across 3 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 71%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 64%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 74%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 69%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Shingle Creek

Aggregated across 3 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 606Total filings (sum)
  • 9.57%Avg annual filing rate
  • 10.7%Peak year (2013)
  • 7.10%Latest filed (2013)

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 653Total filings 2020-21
  • 3.0Avg monthly observed
  • 2.1Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 1.56×Ratio to baseline

Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Minneapolis-Saint Paul, MN).

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Shingle Creek

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Shingle Creek

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Shingle Creek?

Shingle Creek scores 5.5/10 (Moderate tier) across 3 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Shingle Creek compare to Brooklyn Center overall?

Shingle Creek scores 0.9 points higher than Brooklyn Center overall (4.6/10). Renters spend 54% of income on rent vs 30% citywide. Average rent: $1,430 vs $1,376.
Q3

What is the average rent in Shingle Creek?

Average gross rent in Shingle Creek is $1,430/month (pop-weighted across 3 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Shingle Creek residents are renters?

32% of Shingle Creek households are renter-occupied (vs 36% in Brooklyn Center). The neighborhood has 13,059 residents.
Q5

Is Shingle Creek a high social-vulnerability area?

Shingle Creek sits in the 74th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Shingle Creek have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Shingle Creek is census tract 27053020400 (score 6/10). Across the 3 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 5 to 6, a spread of 1 points.
Q7

How safe is Shingle Creek for landlords?

Shingle Creek carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.5/10). Pop-weighted across 3 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Brooklyn Center as a whole (4.6/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Shingle Creek?

Shingle Creek has 12,487 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (34%), Black (non-Hispanic) (30.4%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (15.4%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Shingle Creek

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Brooklyn Center

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Shingle Creek.

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