Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #78,212 of 84,120 nationally
Willard-Hay Eviction Risk: Lower , Minneapolis
Tract 27053021700 · Hennepin County, MN · pop 5,348 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi
The Willard-Hay area of Minneapolis is where census tract 27053021700 sits, home to 5,348 residents. Its landlord eviction-risk score is 5.7/10. On the national scale it ranks #29,914 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 51% of renter households, a severe level, and 29% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $2,058 monthly, set against $155,592 in average yearly household income, roughly 16% of income at the averages. About 6% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
1.6
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 3%
Stable renters 3%
Owners 94%
Tract context
Occupied units2,055
Renter share5.6%
SVI overall0.05
Poverty rate4.1%
Median income$155,592
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
19
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
15
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Minneapolis and the region
Centroid at 45.0010, -93.3344 · click any tract to drill in
Why Willard-Hay scores 1.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Minneapolis
7.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.2
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
4.1% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,058 rent vs county FMR
7.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Minneapolis
6.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Minneapolis
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Minneapolis
5.2
How Willard-Hay compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 5
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 7%Socioeconomic
- 20%Household composition
- 15%Racial/ethnic minority
- 11%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 39Total filings over 5 yrs
- 4.75%Avg annual filing rate
- 7.6%Peak (2009)
- 7Filings in 2013 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 22% over the past 5 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 27Total filings 2020-21
- 0.4Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.5Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.73×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Minneapolis-Saint Paul, MN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Willard-Hay. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 6.4%Housing insecurity
- 3.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 6.7%Food insecurity
- 4.1%SNAP enrollment
- 4.7%Transit barriers
- 5.2%No health insurance
- 12.5%Frequent mental distress
- 21.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Willard-Hay
What moves this score most is supply constraint at 7.2/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Minneapolis eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Hennepin County average of 5.6 and above the Minnesota statewide average of 5.0. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 39 eviction filings here over 5 tracked years, with about 4.8% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 7.6% of renter households in 2009.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 0.73x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, a little under the pre-pandemic norm.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 27053021700
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27053021700?
Census tract 27053021700 in the Willard-Hay neighborhood scores 1.6/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 27053021700?
Median gross rent is $2,058/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 27053021700?
4.1% of residents in tract 27053021700 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,348.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 27053021700?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 5th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 7th, household 20th, minority 15th, housing 11th.
Q5
Is tract 27053021700 considered part of Willard-Hay?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 27053021700 fall within Willard-Hay (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27053021700?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 39 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 27053021700 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.75% of renter households, peaking at 7.6% in 2009. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 27053021700 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.73× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Minneapolis eviction risk-Saint Paul, MN), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 27053021700 struggle to pay rent?
About 6.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 27053021700 compare to Minneapolis overall?
Tract 27053021700 scores 1.6/10, lower than the parent city of Minneapolis at 6.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Minneapolis eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Minneapolis
Top eight tracts in Minneapolis ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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