Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #7,836 of 84,120 nationally
Willard-Hay Eviction Risk: High , Minneapolis
Tract 27053002700 · Hennepin County, MN · pop 2,844 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
27053002700 is a census tract in the Willard-Hay area of Minneapolis, MN. It scores 8/10 for landlords. It is home to 2,844 residents. Against the Hennepin County average of 5.1, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.9 points.
Risk score
8
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 10%
Stable renters 20%
Owners 70%
Tract context
Occupied units856
Renter share29.4%
SVI overall0.90
Poverty rate21.9%
Median income$81,167
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
92
th percentile
Very High
Within county
91
th percentile
Very High
Within state
100
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Minneapolis and the region
Centroid at 44.9952, -93.3133 · click any tract to drill in
Why Willard-Hay scores 8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Minneapolis
9.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.2
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
21.9% poverty · this tract
5.5
Supply constraint
$1,389 rent vs county FMR
3.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Minneapolis
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Minneapolis
8.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Minneapolis
7.0
How Willard-Hay compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 90
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 86%Socioeconomic
- 90%Household composition
- 85%Racial/ethnic minority
- 72%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 62%Grade B
- 36%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 328Total filings over 5 yrs
- 22.21%Avg annual filing rate
- 23.4%Peak (2012)
- 48Filings in 2013 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 34% over the past 5 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 119Total filings 2020-21
- 1.6Avg monthly (observed)
- 3.1Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.51×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Minneapolis-Saint Paul, MN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Willard-Hay. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 22.3%Housing insecurity
- 13.8%Utility-shutoff threat
- 27.7%Food insecurity
- 22.4%SNAP enrollment
- 15.2%Transit barriers
- 13.7%No health insurance
- 18.6%Frequent mental distress
- 32.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Willard-Hay
The severe-burden share is 28%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. The dominant input is local political climate at 9/10.
Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.5/10. Against Hennepin County at 43.1%, 33% of renters here are cost-burdened.
The poverty rate is 22%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.5/10. Court records carry 328 eviction filings across 5 observed years.
Housing insecurity runs 22.3% against 14.2% nationally. SNAP participation runs 22.4% against 15.2% nationally.
Filings peaked in 2012 at 23.4% of renter households. This ground was mapped B ("Still Desirable") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Minneapolis. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.
In a typical year about 22.2% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 91% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 27053002700
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27053002700?
Census tract 27053002700 in the Willard-Hay neighborhood scores 8/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 27053002700?
Median gross rent is $1,389/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 33% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 27053002700?
21.9% of residents in tract 27053002700 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,844.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 27053002700?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 90th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 86th, household 90th, minority 85th, housing 72th.
Q5
Is tract 27053002700 considered part of Willard-Hay?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 27053002700 fall within Willard-Hay (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27053002700?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 328 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 27053002700 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 22.21% of renter households, peaking at 23.4% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 27053002700 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.51× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Minneapolis eviction risk-Saint Paul, MN), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 27053002700 struggle to pay rent?
About 22.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 13.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 27053002700 compare to Minneapolis overall?
Tract 27053002700 scores 8/10, higher than the parent city of Minneapolis at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Minneapolis eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q10
Was tract 27053002700 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Minneapolis
Top eight tracts in Minneapolis ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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