Within neighborhood
67
th percentile
Elevated
Neighborhood · Ranked #7,836 of 84,120 nationally
Willard-Hay Eviction Risk: High , Minneapolis
Tract 27053102000 · Hennepin County, MN · pop 2,137 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
Census tract 27053102000 covers part of the Willard-Hay area of Minneapolis, MN, and scores 8/10 on landlord eviction risk. Severe burden reaches 65%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Risk score
8
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 33%
Stable renters 8%
Owners 59%
Tract context
Occupied units926
Renter share41.4%
SVI overall0.75
Poverty rate16.5%
Median income$43,529
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
83
th percentile
High
Within county
87
th percentile
High
Within state
100
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Minneapolis and the region
Centroid at 45.0038, -93.3142 · click any tract to drill in
Why Willard-Hay scores 8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Minneapolis
9.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.2
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
16.5% poverty · this tract
4.1
Supply constraint
$1,231 rent vs county FMR
2.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Minneapolis
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Minneapolis
8.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Minneapolis
7.0
How Willard-Hay compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 75
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 63%Socioeconomic
- 80%Household composition
- 70%Racial/ethnic minority
- 68%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 24%Grade A
- 25%Grade B
- 47%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 253Total filings over 5 yrs
- 17.33%Avg annual filing rate
- 22.8%Peak (2009)
- 59Filings in 2013 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 5 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 142Total filings 2020-21
- 1.8Avg monthly (observed)
- 2.7Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.68×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Minneapolis-Saint Paul, MN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Willard-Hay. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 21.1%Housing insecurity
- 13.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 25.8%Food insecurity
- 21.5%SNAP enrollment
- 14.5%Transit barriers
- 11.4%No health insurance
- 18.6%Frequent mental distress
- 31.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Willard-Hay
Cost burden runs 80% here against 43.1% across Hennepin County. Against the Hennepin County average of 5.1, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.9 points.
The dominant input is local political climate at 9/10. Set annual rent against average income of $43,529 and the ratio lands at 34%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.
Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.5/10. On the softer side, supply constraint reads 2.3/10.
The filing record is not thin: 253 evictions over 5 years of observation. Food insecurity runs 25.8% against 17.8% nationally. Average gross rent is $1,231, 10% below the Minneapolis average.
The worst year on record was 2009, when 22.8% of renter households were served. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.
In a typical year about 17.3% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 91% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 27053102000
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27053102000?
Census tract 27053102000 in the Willard-Hay neighborhood scores 8/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 27053102000?
Median gross rent is $1,231/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 80% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 27053102000?
16.5% of residents in tract 27053102000 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,137.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 27053102000?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 75th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 63th, household 80th, minority 70th, housing 68th.
Q5
Is tract 27053102000 considered part of Willard-Hay?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 27053102000 fall within Willard-Hay (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27053102000?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 253 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 27053102000 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 17.33% of renter households, peaking at 22.8% in 2009. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 27053102000 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.68× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Minneapolis eviction risk-Saint Paul, MN), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 27053102000 struggle to pay rent?
About 21.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 13.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 27053102000 compare to Minneapolis overall?
Tract 27053102000 scores 8/10, higher than the parent city of Minneapolis at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Minneapolis eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q10
Was tract 27053102000 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Minneapolis
Top eight tracts in Minneapolis ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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