4 census tracts · pop 13,136 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 6/10
· range 3.1–8
Willard-Hay takes in 4 census tracts of Minneapolis, MN, population 13,136. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 6/10, Elevated tier. Scores across the 4 constituent tracts range from 3.1 to 8. A 4.9-point internal spread means block-level underwriting beats area-level here.
Cost burden runs 53% against 29.3% citywide, putting Willard-Hay 24.1% over its own city. 35% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate.
The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 7.7/10. Average gross rent is $1,609, 17% above the Minneapolis average of $1,371. Court records carry 1,035 eviction filings across its 4 observed tracts.
The worst year on record was 2013, when filings touched 23.4% of renter households. That places it #57 of 75 neighborhoods in Minneapolis. Judgments average 4.4% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order.
At 26% renter-occupied, this is predominantly owner territory, and rental comps have to be drawn from further out. Rent takes 19% of average household income, comfortably inside the 30% line and unusually low for a rental sub-market.
Underwrite the address, not the area: with 4.9 points between its best and worst tract, the per-tract table below is the operative number. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.
Risk score
6
Elevated
4 tracts · population-weighted
Willard-Hay vs MinneapolisHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority53%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport50%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab
Court-record eviction history in Willard-Hay
Aggregated across 4 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
1,035Total filings (sum)
13.32%Avg annual filing rate
23.4%Peak year (2013)
10.15%Latest filed (2013)
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
471Total filings 2020-21
1.3Avg monthly observed
2.3Pre-pandemic baseline
0.63×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Minneapolis-Saint Paul, MN).
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Willard-Hay
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
15.8%Housing insecurity
9.8%Utility shutoff threat
19.1%Food insecurity
15.0%SNAP enrollment
9.8%No health insurance
28.2%Any disability
Frequently asked
About Willard-Hay
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Willard-Hay?
Willard-Hay scores 6/10 (Elevated tier) across 4 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Willard-Hay compare to Minneapolis overall?
Willard-Hay scores 0.6 points lower than Minneapolis overall (6.6/10). Renters spend 53% of income on rent vs 29% citywide. Average rent: $1,609 vs $1,371.
Q3
What is the average rent in Willard-Hay?
Average gross rent in Willard-Hay is $1,609/month (pop-weighted across 4 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 53% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Willard-Hay residents are renters?
26% of Willard-Hay households are renter-occupied (vs 52% in Minneapolis). The neighborhood has 13,136 residents.
Q5
Is Willard-Hay a high social-vulnerability area?
Willard-Hay sits in the 54th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
Which tracts in Willard-Hay have the highest eviction risk?
The highest-risk constituent tract in Willard-Hay is census tract 27053002700 (score 8/10). Across the 4 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3.1 to 8, a spread of 4.9 points.
Q7
How safe is Willard-Hay for landlords?
Willard-Hay carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (6/10). Pop-weighted across 4 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Minneapolis as a whole (6.6/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q8
What is the demographic breakdown of Willard-Hay?
Willard-Hay has 12,650 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (56.3%), Black (non-Hispanic) (23.7%), Hispanic / Latino (10.4%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
