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Neighborhood · Maple Grove, MN

Shadow Creek Eviction Risk: Lower

4 census tracts · pop 13,801 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 1.4/10 · range 1.2–2

Shadow Creek is a white (non-hispanic) neighborhood in Maple Grove with 4 census tracts and a population of 13,801 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 1.4/10 (Lower tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 62% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 13% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,210/month sits 35% lower than the Maple Grove citywide average ($1,868).

Risk score
1.4
Lower
4 tracts · population-weighted
Shadow Creek vs Maple Grove How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
61.5% +115%
Maple Grove: 28.6%
Average gross rent
$1,210 -35%
Maple Grove: $1,868
Average HH income
$140,659 +9%
Maple Grove: $129,481
Poverty rate
5.0% +30%
Maple Grove: 3.9%
Renter share
12.5% -29%
Maple Grove: 17.7%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Shadow Creek and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 4 tracts span score 1.2–2

Why Shadow Creek scores 1.4

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 4.3–4.3 across tracts
4.3
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 7.2–7.2 across tracts
7.2
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 7.4–7.4 across tracts
7.4
Rent control risk
62% of income on rent · Range 4.6–4.6 across tracts
4.6
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
13% renter households · Range 4.1–4.1 across tracts
4.1
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 3.7–3.7 across tracts
3.7
Economic stress
5.0% below poverty line · Range 1.0–2.9 across tracts
1.5
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 5.0–7.2 across tracts
5.9
Risk score comparison

Shadow Creek vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Shadow Creek score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Shadow Creek: 1.41.4Shadow CreekNeighborhoodParent city: 4.94.9Parent cityhost cityState: 5.25.2Stateavg in stateU.S.: 4.74.7U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Shadow Creek?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 0.8 points from 1.2 to 2. Tracts are relatively uniform, so conditions feel similar throughout the neighborhood.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

4 tracts in Shadow Creek

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
27053026725 2 2,294 34% $1,846
27053026720 1.4 5,041 100%
27053026721 1.4 2,806 0% $2,050
27053026718 1.2 3,660 72% $1,834
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 15

Pop-weighted across 4 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 22%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 18%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 28%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 19%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Shadow Creek

Aggregated across 0 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 85Total filings 2020-21
  • 0.2Avg monthly observed
  • 0.2Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 1.19×Ratio to baseline

Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Minneapolis-Saint Paul, MN).

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Shadow Creek

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Shadow Creek

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Shadow Creek?

Shadow Creek scores 1.4/10 (Lower tier) across 4 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Shadow Creek compare to Maple Grove overall?

Shadow Creek scores 3.5 points lower than Maple Grove overall (4.9/10). Renters spend 62% of income on rent vs 29% citywide. Average rent: $1,210 vs $1,868.
Q3

What is the average rent in Shadow Creek?

Average gross rent in Shadow Creek is $1,210/month (pop-weighted across 4 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 62% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Shadow Creek residents are renters?

13% of Shadow Creek households are renter-occupied (vs 18% in Maple Grove). The neighborhood has 13,801 residents.
Q5

Is Shadow Creek a high social-vulnerability area?

Shadow Creek sits in the 15th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Shadow Creek have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Shadow Creek is census tract 27053026725 (score 2/10). Across the 4 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 1.2 to 2, a spread of 0.8 points.
Q7

How safe is Shadow Creek for landlords?

Shadow Creek carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (1.4/10). Pop-weighted across 4 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Maple Grove as a whole (4.9/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Shadow Creek?

Shadow Creek has 14,054 residents (White (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (82.7%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (6.7%), Black (non-Hispanic) (5.3%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Shadow Creek

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Maple Grove

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Shadow Creek.

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