4 census tracts · pop 13,801 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.1/10
· range 3–3.5
Shadow Creek takes in 4 census tracts of Maple Grove, MN and houses 13,801 people. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 3.1/10, in the Lower tier. Against a Maple Grove baseline of 28.6%, 62% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.
Average gross rent is $1,210, 35% below the Maple Grove average of $1,868. Pulling the other way is economic stress, at 1.5/10.
The severe-burden share is 13%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. SNAP participation is 4.9% of households versus 15.2% nationally.
Food insecurity affects 7.8% of adults, 10.0 points below the national rate. That places it #2 of 6 neighborhoods in Maple Grove.
Only 13% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin here; price renewals off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. The closest comparables inside the same city are Delgany and Waterstone.
Against average income of $140,659, annual rent is only 10%, a wide affordability cushion. Poverty sits at 5%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. The 4 tracts here are tightly clustered, 0.5 points apart at the extremes.
The area figure travels well to individual addresses here, though the per-tract table below still carries the detail. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.
Risk score
3.1
Lower
4 tracts · population-weighted
Shadow Creek vs Maple GroveHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority28%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport19%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab
Court-record eviction history in Shadow Creek
Aggregated across 0 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
85Total filings 2020-21
0.2Avg monthly observed
0.2Pre-pandemic baseline
1.19×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Minneapolis-Saint Paul, MN).
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Shadow Creek
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
7.2%Housing insecurity
4.2%Utility shutoff threat
7.6%Food insecurity
4.7%SNAP enrollment
5.2%No health insurance
21.7%Any disability
Frequently asked
About Shadow Creek
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Shadow Creek?
Shadow Creek scores 3.1/10 (Lower tier) across 4 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Shadow Creek compare to Maple Grove overall?
Shadow Creek scores 0.9 points lower than Maple Grove overall (4/10). Renters spend 62% of income on rent vs 29% citywide. Average rent: $1,210 vs $1,868.
Q3
What is the average rent in Shadow Creek?
Average gross rent in Shadow Creek is $1,210/month (pop-weighted across 4 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 62% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Shadow Creek residents are renters?
13% of Shadow Creek households are renter-occupied (vs 18% in Maple Grove). The neighborhood has 13,801 residents.
Q5
Is Shadow Creek a high social-vulnerability area?
Shadow Creek sits in the 15th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
Which tracts in Shadow Creek have the highest eviction risk?
The highest-risk constituent tract in Shadow Creek is census tract 27053026725 (score 3.5/10). Across the 4 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3 to 3.5, a spread of 0.5 points.
Q7
How safe is Shadow Creek for landlords?
Shadow Creek carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.1/10). Pop-weighted across 4 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Maple Grove as a whole (4/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q8
What is the demographic breakdown of Shadow Creek?
Shadow Creek has 14,054 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (82.7%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (6.7%), Black (non-Hispanic) (5.3%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
