Cedar-Riverside Eviction Risk: High

The poverty rate is 49%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. SNAP participation is 42.1% of households versus 15.2% nationally.

The dominant input is economic stress at 9.5/10. Annualized rent equals 44% of average household income here, past the 30% affordability line, which compresses the margin any screening standard has to work with.

Food insecurity affects 43.4% of adults, 25.6 points above the national rate. 89% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building two streets over. Average gross rent is $952, 31% below the Minneapolis average of $1,371.

Severe burden reaches 24%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. Running hot is tenant-organizing strength at 8.5/10. Running cool is supply constraint, at 1.5/10.

That places it #1 of 75 neighborhoods in Minneapolis. The closest comparables inside the same city are Harrison and Stevens Square. Social vulnerability runs high at 9.1/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input.

With little internal variation, 8/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.