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Neighborhood · Minneapolis, MN

Marcy-Holmes Eviction Risk: High

3 census tracts · pop 10,807 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 8/10 · range 7.9–8

Marcy-Holmes is a 3-tract neighborhood of Minneapolis, MN and houses 10,807 people. The Eviction Risk Score is 8/10, in the High tier. Cost burden runs 56% against 29.3% citywide, putting Marcy-Holmes 26.4% over its own city.

Severe burden reaches 31%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. 92% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building two streets over. The poverty rate is 34%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than the filing statistics suggest.

The strongest single driver of the headline number is tenant-organizing strength at 8.5/10. Running cool is supply constraint, at 1.8/10. Average gross rent is $1,146, 16% below the Minneapolis average of $1,371.

The filing record is not thin: 48 evictions logged in this tract. Running hot is rent-regulation exposure at 7.5/10.

The worst year on record was 2013, when filings touched 0.9% of renter households. Among the 75 mapped neighborhoods of Minneapolis, it ranks #1 by risk, the upper third. Judgments average 0.3% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order.

The area figure travels well to individual addresses here, though the per-tract table below still carries the detail. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
8
High
3 tracts · population-weighted
Marcy-Holmes vs Minneapolis How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
55.7% +90%
Minneapolis: 29.3%
Average gross rent
$1,146 -16%
Minneapolis: $1,371
Average HH income
$45,514 -43%
Minneapolis: $80,269
Poverty rate
33.8% +107%
Minneapolis: 16.4%
Renter share
91.5% +75%
Minneapolis: 52.3%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Marcy-Holmes and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 3 tracts span score 7.9–8

Why Marcy-Holmes scores 8

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 4.3–4.3 across tracts
4.3
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 7.2–7.2 across tracts
7.2
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 9.0–9.0 across tracts
9.0
Rent control risk
56% of income on rent · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
92% renter households · Range 8.5–8.5 across tracts
8.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 7.0–7.0 across tracts
7.0
Economic stress
33.8% below poverty line · Range 3.1–10.0 across tracts
5.9
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.5–2.2 across tracts
1.8
Risk score comparison

Marcy-Holmes vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Marcy-Holmes score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Marcy-Holmes: 8.08.0Marcy-HolmesNeighborhoodParent city: 6.66.6Parent cityhost cityState: 4.54.5Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Marcy-Holmes?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 0.1 points from 7.9 to 8. Tracts are relatively uniform, so conditions feel similar throughout the neighborhood.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

3 tracts in Marcy-Holmes

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
27053003802 8 3,857 64% $1,090
27053003801 8 2,758 56% $1,127
27053103700 7.9 4,192 48% $1,211
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 45

Pop-weighted across 3 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 56%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 2%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 46%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 89%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Marcy-Holmes

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 48Total filings (sum)
  • 0.70%Avg annual filing rate
  • 0.9%Peak year (2013)
  • 0.94%Latest filed (2013)

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 617Total filings 2020-21
  • 2.5Avg monthly observed
  • 0.9Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 2.80×Ratio to baseline

Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Minneapolis-Saint Paul, MN).

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Marcy-Holmes

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Marcy-Holmes

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Marcy-Holmes?

Marcy-Holmes scores 8/10 (High tier) across 3 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Marcy-Holmes compare to Minneapolis overall?

Marcy-Holmes scores 1.4 points higher than Minneapolis overall (6.6/10). Renters spend 56% of income on rent vs 29% citywide. Average rent: $1,146 vs $1,371.
Q3

What is the average rent in Marcy-Holmes?

Average gross rent in Marcy-Holmes is $1,146/month (pop-weighted across 3 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 56% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Marcy-Holmes residents are renters?

92% of Marcy-Holmes households are renter-occupied (vs 52% in Minneapolis). The neighborhood has 10,807 residents.
Q5

Is Marcy-Holmes a high social-vulnerability area?

Marcy-Holmes sits in the 45th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Marcy-Holmes have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Marcy-Holmes is census tract 27053003802 (score 8/10). Across the 3 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 7.9 to 8, a spread of 0.1 points.
Q7

How safe is Marcy-Holmes for landlords?

Marcy-Holmes carries a high-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (8/10). Pop-weighted across 3 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Minneapolis as a whole (6.6/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Marcy-Holmes?

Marcy-Holmes has 10,744 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (69.5%), Black (non-Hispanic) (9.8%), Hispanic / Latino (9.1%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Marcy-Holmes

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Minneapolis

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Marcy-Holmes.

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