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Neighborhood · Minneapolis, MN

Near-North Eviction Risk: High

1 census tracts · pop 2,858 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 8/10 · range 8–8

Near-North maps to a single census tract in Minneapolis, MN and houses 2,858 people. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 8/10, High tier. Cost burden runs 55% against 29.3% citywide, putting Near-North 25.8% over its own city.

Average gross rent is $407, 70% below the Minneapolis average of $1,371. Pulling the other way is supply constraint, at 1/10.

The poverty rate is 31%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. On the high side is tenant-organizing strength at 8.5/10.

Severe burden reaches 18%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. Food insecurity affects 31.7% of adults, 13.9 points above the national rate. Running hot is economic stress at 7.7/10.

16.0% of adults report being unable to pay a utility bill, against a 9.2% national figure. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Among the 75 mapped neighborhoods of Minneapolis, it ranks #1 by risk, the upper third.

For a like-for-like read, Phillips West and Harrison score within a fraction of it. Social vulnerability runs high at 9.5/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input. Against average income of $39,922, annual rent is only 12%, a wide affordability cushion.

One tract means one number: 8/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
8
High
1 tracts · population-weighted
Near-North vs Minneapolis How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
55.1% +88%
Minneapolis: 29.3%
Average gross rent
$407 -70%
Minneapolis: $1,371
Average HH income
$39,922 -50%
Minneapolis: $80,269
Poverty rate
30.9% +89%
Minneapolis: 16.4%
Renter share
57.9% +11%
Minneapolis: 52.3%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Near-North and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 8–8

Why Near-North scores 8

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 4.3–4.3 across tracts
4.3
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 7.2–7.2 across tracts
7.2
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 9.0–9.0 across tracts
9.0
Rent control risk
55% of income on rent · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
58% renter households · Range 8.5–8.5 across tracts
8.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 7.0–7.0 across tracts
7.0
Economic stress
30.9% below poverty line · Range 7.7–7.7 across tracts
7.7
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Risk score comparison

Near-North vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Near-North score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Near-North: 8.08.0Near-NorthNeighborhoodParent city: 6.66.6Parent cityhost cityState: 4.54.5Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Near-North

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
27053126300 8 2,858 55% $407
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 95

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 90%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 82%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 77%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 95%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Near-North

Aggregated across 0 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 391Total filings 2020-21
  • 5.1Avg monthly observed
  • 5.1Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.99×Ratio to baseline

Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Minneapolis-Saint Paul, MN).

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Near-North

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Near-North

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Near-North?

Near-North scores 8/10 (High tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Near-North compare to Minneapolis overall?

Near-North scores 1.4 points higher than Minneapolis overall (6.6/10). Renters spend 55% of income on rent vs 29% citywide. Average rent: $407 vs $1,371.
Q3

What is the average rent in Near-North?

Average gross rent in Near-North is $407/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Near-North residents are renters?

58% of Near-North households are renter-occupied (vs 52% in Minneapolis). The neighborhood has 2,858 residents.
Q5

Is Near-North a high social-vulnerability area?

Near-North sits in the 95th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Near-North for landlords?

Near-North carries a high-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (8/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Minneapolis as a whole (6.6/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Near-North?

Near-North has 2,915 residents. Top groups: Black (non-Hispanic) (49.9%), White (non-Hispanic) (33.9%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (8%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Near-North

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Minneapolis

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Near-North.

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