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Neighborhood · Minneapolis, MN

Seward Eviction Risk: Elevated

3 census tracts · pop 7,764 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 7.7/10 · range 6.7–8

Seward spans 3 census tracts of Minneapolis, MN and houses 7,764 people. The Eviction Risk Score is 7.7/10, in the Elevated tier. Against a Minneapolis baseline of 29.3%, 43% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.

What pushes the score up most is tenant-organizing strength at 8.5/10. 65% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building two streets over. Severe burden reaches 18%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears.

On the softer side is supply constraint, at 1.9/10. Average gross rent is $1,078, 21% below the Minneapolis average of $1,371. The 3 tracts inside this boundary do not behave alike. Individual scores run 6.7 to 8, a 1.3-point gap wide enough that the area average misleads on any specific address.

The poverty rate is 21%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than the filing statistics suggest. Filings are well documented here: 181 across 3 observed tracts. Sitting well above the midpoint is rent-regulation exposure at 7.5/10.

Filing activity peaked in 2012 at 3.2% of renter households. The most recent observed rate, 1.4% in 2013, is well off that peak. Among the 75 mapped neighborhoods of Minneapolis, it ranks #26 by risk, the middle third.

For a like-for-like read, Humboldt Industrial Area and Loring Park score within a fraction of it. Social vulnerability runs high at 7.7/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input.

Underwrite the address, not the area: with 1.3 points between its best and worst tract, the per-tract table below is the operative number. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
7.7
Elevated
3 tracts · population-weighted
Seward vs Minneapolis How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
42.8% +46%
Minneapolis: 29.3%
Average gross rent
$1,078 -21%
Minneapolis: $1,371
Average HH income
$64,581 -20%
Minneapolis: $80,269
Poverty rate
21.3% +30%
Minneapolis: 16.4%
Renter share
65.0% +24%
Minneapolis: 52.3%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Seward and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 3 tracts span score 6.7–8

Why Seward scores 7.7

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 4.3–4.3 across tracts
4.3
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 7.2–7.2 across tracts
7.2
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 9.0–9.0 across tracts
9.0
Rent control risk
43% of income on rent · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
65% renter households · Range 8.5–8.5 across tracts
8.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 7.0–7.0 across tracts
7.0
Economic stress
21.3% below poverty line · Range 2.6–7.0 across tracts
5.3
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.0–3.3 across tracts
1.9
Risk score comparison

Seward vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Seward score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Seward: 7.77.7SewardNeighborhoodParent city: 6.66.6Parent cityhost cityState: 4.54.5Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Seward?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 1.3 points from 6.7 to 8. Moderate variation across constituent tracts.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

3 tracts in Seward

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
27053106200 8 3,921 46% $1,115
27053106400 8 1,933 49% $684
27053107500 6.7 1,910 30% $1,401
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 74

Pop-weighted across 3 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 72%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 60%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 61%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 74%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Seward

Aggregated across 3 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 181Total filings (sum)
  • 1.61%Avg annual filing rate
  • 3.2%Peak year (2012)
  • 1.42%Latest filed (2013)

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 436Total filings 2020-21
  • 2.7Avg monthly observed
  • 0.9Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 2.21×Ratio to baseline

Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Minneapolis-Saint Paul, MN).

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Seward

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Seward

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Seward?

Seward scores 7.7/10 (Elevated tier) across 3 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Seward compare to Minneapolis overall?

Seward scores 1.1 points higher than Minneapolis overall (6.6/10). Renters spend 43% of income on rent vs 29% citywide. Average rent: $1,078 vs $1,371.
Q3

What is the average rent in Seward?

Average gross rent in Seward is $1,078/month (pop-weighted across 3 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 43% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Seward residents are renters?

65% of Seward households are renter-occupied (vs 52% in Minneapolis). The neighborhood has 7,764 residents.
Q5

Is Seward a high social-vulnerability area?

Seward sits in the 74th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Seward have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Seward is census tract 27053106200 (score 8/10). Across the 3 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 6.7 to 8, a spread of 1.3 points.
Q7

How safe is Seward for landlords?

Seward carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (7.7/10). Pop-weighted across 3 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Minneapolis as a whole (6.6/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Seward?

Seward has 8,235 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (48%), Black (non-Hispanic) (32.6%), Other / Multiracial (10%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Seward

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Minneapolis

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Seward.

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