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Neighborhood · Minneapolis, MN

Seward Eviction Risk: Elevated

3 census tracts · pop 7,764 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 7.7/10 · range 6.7–8

Seward spans 3 census tracts of Minneapolis, MN and houses 7,764 people. The Eviction Risk Score is 7.7/10, in the Elevated tier. Against a Minneapolis baseline of 29.3%, 43% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.

What pushes the score up most is tenant-organizing strength at 8.5/10. 65% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building two streets over. Severe burden reaches 18%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears.

On the softer side is supply constraint, at 1.9/10. Average gross rent is $1,078, 21% below the Minneapolis average of $1,371. The 3 tracts inside this boundary do not behave alike. Individual scores run 6.7 to 8, a 1.3-point gap wide enough that the area average misleads on any specific address.

The poverty rate is 21%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than the filing statistics suggest. Filings are well documented here: 181 across 3 observed tracts. Sitting well above the midpoint is rent-regulation exposure at 7.5/10.

Filing activity peaked in 2012 at 3.2% of renter households. The most recent observed rate, 1.4% in 2013, is well off that peak. Among the 75 mapped neighborhoods of Minneapolis, it ranks #26 by risk, the middle third.

For a like-for-like read, Humboldt Industrial Area and Loring Park score within a fraction of it. Social vulnerability runs high at 7.7/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input.

Underwrite the address, not the area: with 1.3 points between its best and worst tract, the per-tract table below is the operative number. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
7.7
Elevated
3 tracts · population-weighted
Seward vs Minneapolis How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
42.8% +46%
Minneapolis: 29.3%
Average gross rent
$1,078 -21%
Minneapolis: $1,371
Average HH income
$64,581 -20%
Minneapolis: $80,269
Poverty rate
21.3% +30%
Minneapolis: 16.4%
Renter share
65.0% +24%
Minneapolis: 52.3%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Seward and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 3 tracts span score 6.7–8

Why Seward scores 7.7

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 4.3–4.3 across tracts
4.3
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 7.2–7.2 across tracts
7.2
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 9.0–9.0 across tracts
9.0
Rent control risk
43% of income on rent · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
65% renter households · Range 8.5–8.5 across tracts
8.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 7.0–7.0 across tracts
7.0
Economic stress
21.3% below poverty line · Range 2.6–7.0 across tracts
5.3
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.0–3.3 across tracts
1.9
Risk score comparison

Seward vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Seward score vs. parent city, state, U.S.7.7SewardNeighborhood6.6Parent cityhost city4.5Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Seward?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 1.3 points from 6.7 to 8. Moderate variation across constituent tracts.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

3 tracts in Seward

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕ Score↕ Pop↕ % over 30% on rent↕ Average rent↕
27053106200 8 3,921 46% $1,115
27053106400 8 1,933 49% $684
27053107500 6.7 1,910 30% $1,401
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 74

Pop-weighted across 3 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 72%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 60%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 61%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 74%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Seward

Aggregated across 3 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 181Total filings (sum)
  • 1.61%Avg annual filing rate
  • 3.2%Peak year (2012)
  • 1.42%Latest filed (2013)

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 436Total filings 2020-21
  • 2.7Avg monthly observed
  • 0.9Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 2.21×Ratio to baseline

Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Minneapolis-Saint Paul, MN).

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Seward

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Seward

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Seward?

Seward scores 7.7/10 (Elevated tier) across 3 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Seward compare to Minneapolis overall?

Seward scores 1.1 points higher than Minneapolis overall (6.6/10). Renters spend 43% of income on rent vs 29% citywide. Average rent: $1,078 vs $1,371.
Q3

What is the average rent in Seward?

Average gross rent in Seward is $1,078/month (pop-weighted across 3 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 43% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Seward residents are renters?

65% of Seward households are renter-occupied (vs 52% in Minneapolis). The neighborhood has 7,764 residents.
Q5

Is Seward a high social-vulnerability area?

Seward sits in the 74th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Seward have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Seward is census tract 27053106200 (score 8/10). Across the 3 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 6.7 to 8, a spread of 1.3 points.
Q7

How safe is Seward for landlords?

Seward carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (7.7/10). Pop-weighted across 3 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Minneapolis as a whole (6.6/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Seward?

Seward has 8,235 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (48%), Black (non-Hispanic) (32.6%), Other / Multiracial (10%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Seward

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Minneapolis

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Seward.

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