Holland Eviction Risk: High , Minneapolis

The severe-burden share is 33%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. What pushes it up most is local political climate at 9/10. Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.5/10.

Against Hennepin County at 43.1%, roughly one in two of renters here are cost-burdened. On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.5/10.

The poverty rate is 18%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 195 filings here across 5 tracked years.

The worst year on record was 2009, when 5.1% of renter households were served. At $1,256 a month, rents run 8% under what the rest of Minneapolis commands.

In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. In a typical year about 4.4% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 91st percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 6.9/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the MN average is 4.5, so this tract runs 3.5 points hotter.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.