Tract 27053125600 ·
Hennepin County, MN · pop 3,675 · neighborhood within 0.0 mi
27053125600 is a census tract in the Prospect Park area of Minneapolis, MN. It scores 8/10 for landlords. It is home to 3,675 residents. 64% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well clear of the Hennepin County average of 43.1%.
Risk score
8
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 40%Stable renters 23%Owners 37%
Tract context
Occupied units1,836
Renter share62.7%
SVI overall0.59
Poverty rate33.7%
Median income$56,937
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0th percentile
#2 of 2 tracts In Prospect Park
Very Low
Within parent city
73th percentile
#33 of 121 tracts In Minneapolis
Elevated
Within county
95th percentile
#18 of 329 tracts In Hennepin County
Very High
Within state
100th percentile
#1 of 1,502 tracts In Minnesota
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Minneapolis and the region
Centroid at 44.9683, -93.2165 · click any tract to drill in
Why Prospect Park scores 8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Minneapolis
9.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.2
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
33.7% poverty · this tract
8.4
Supply constraint
$1,651 rent vs county FMR
4.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Minneapolis
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Minneapolis
8.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Minneapolis
7.0
How Prospect Park compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 59
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
68%Socioeconomic
4%Household composition
46%Racial/ethnic minority
91%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
3%Grade A
22%Grade B
4%Grade C
11%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
53Total filings over 5 yrs
1.75%Avg annual filing rate
2.9%Peak (2013)
18Filings in 2013 (latest validated)
Filings by year2009 to 2013
Filings climbed 80% over the past 5 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
183Total filings 2020-21
2.4Avg monthly (observed)
1.3Pre-pandemic baseline
1.85×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–20212020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Minneapolis-Saint Paul, MN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Prospect Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
11.1%Housing insecurity
6.7%Utility-shutoff threat
15.9%Food insecurity
10.5%SNAP enrollment
10.8%Transit barriers
7.9%No health insurance
18.5%Frequent mental distress
26.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Prospect Park
37% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. It sits 2.9 points above the Hennepin County average of 5.1.
The score leans hardest on local political climate at 9/10. The poverty rate is 34%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Annualized rent equals 35% of average household income of $56,937, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.
On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.5/10. Running hot, economic stress reads 8.4/10.
Average gross rent is $1,651, 20% above the Minneapolis average. The filing record is not thin: 53 evictions over 5 years of observation. Filings peaked in 2013 at 2.9% of renter households.
In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground B ("Still Desirable"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. In a typical year about 1.8% of renter households face a filing.
That is riskier than roughly 91% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 6.3/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
Statewide the MN average is 4.5, so this tract runs 3.5 points hotter.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 27053125600
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27053125600?
Census tract 27053125600 in the Prospect Park neighborhood scores 8/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 27053125600?
Median gross rent is $1,651/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 64% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 27053125600?
33.7% of residents in tract 27053125600 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,675.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 27053125600?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 59th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 68th, household 4th, minority 46th, housing 91th.
Q5
Is tract 27053125600 considered part of Prospect Park?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 27053125600 fall within Prospect Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27053125600?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 53 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 27053125600 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.75% of renter households, peaking at 2.9% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 27053125600 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.85× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Minneapolis eviction risk-Saint Paul, MN), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 27053125600 struggle to pay rent?
About 11.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 27053125600 compare to Minneapolis overall?
Tract 27053125600 scores 8/10, higher than the parent city of Minneapolis at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Minneapolis eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q10
Was tract 27053125600 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 11% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Minneapolis
Top eight tracts in Minneapolis ranked by composite eviction-risk score.