Prospect Park Eviction Risk: High , Minneapolis
Tract 27053125600 · Hennepin County, MN · pop 3,675 · neighborhood within 0.0 mi
27053125600 is a census tract in the Prospect Park area of Minneapolis, MN. It scores 8/10 for landlords. It is home to 3,675 residents. 64% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well clear of the Hennepin County average of 43.1%.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Minneapolis and the region
Centroid at 44.9683, -93.2165 · click any tract to drill in
Why Prospect Park scores 8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Prospect Park compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 59
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 68%Socioeconomic
- 4%Household composition
- 46%Racial/ethnic minority
- 91%Housing & transportation
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 3%Grade A
- 22%Grade B
- 4%Grade C
- 11%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 53Total filings over 5 yrs
- 1.75%Avg annual filing rate
- 2.9%Peak (2013)
- 18Filings in 2013 (latest validated)
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 183Total filings 2020-21
- 2.4Avg monthly (observed)
- 1.3Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.85×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Minneapolis-Saint Paul, MN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Prospect Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 11.1%Housing insecurity
- 6.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 15.9%Food insecurity
- 10.5%SNAP enrollment
- 10.8%Transit barriers
- 7.9%No health insurance
- 18.5%Frequent mental distress
- 26.3%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in Prospect Park
37% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. It sits 2.9 points above the Hennepin County average of 5.1.
The score leans hardest on local political climate at 9/10. The poverty rate is 34%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Annualized rent equals 35% of average household income of $56,937, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.
On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.5/10. Running hot, economic stress reads 8.4/10.
Average gross rent is $1,651, 20% above the Minneapolis average. The filing record is not thin: 53 evictions over 5 years of observation. Filings peaked in 2013 at 2.9% of renter households.
In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground B ("Still Desirable"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. In a typical year about 1.8% of renter households face a filing.
That is riskier than roughly 91% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 6.3/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
Statewide the MN average is 4.5, so this tract runs 3.5 points hotter.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
About tract 27053125600
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27053125600?
What is the average rent in tract 27053125600?
What is the poverty rate in tract 27053125600?
How socially vulnerable is tract 27053125600?
Is tract 27053125600 considered part of Prospect Park?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27053125600?
Did eviction filings in tract 27053125600 drop during COVID?
What share of households in tract 27053125600 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 27053125600 compare to Minneapolis overall?
Was tract 27053125600 historically redlined?
Highest-risk tracts in Minneapolis
Top eight tracts in Minneapolis ranked by composite eviction-risk score.