Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #7,836 of 84,120 nationally
Marcy-Holmes Eviction Risk: High , Minneapolis
Tract 27053003801 · Hennepin County, MN · pop 2,758 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
With a score of 8/10, tract 27053003801 in the Marcy-Holmes area of Minneapolis, MN reads high for landlord eviction risk. It sits 2.9 points above the Hennepin County average of 5.1.
Risk score
8
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 55%
Stable renters 43%
Owners 2%
Tract context
Occupied units1,488
Renter share97.8%
SVI overall0.60
Poverty rate17.5%
Median income$42,361
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
78
th percentile
High
Within county
92
th percentile
Very High
Within state
100
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Minneapolis and the region
Centroid at 44.9846, -93.2444 · click any tract to drill in
Why Marcy-Holmes scores 8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Minneapolis
9.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.2
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
17.5% poverty · this tract
4.4
Supply constraint
$1,127 rent vs county FMR
1.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Minneapolis
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Minneapolis
8.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Minneapolis
7.0
How Marcy-Holmes compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 60
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 82%Socioeconomic
- 3%Household composition
- 55%Racial/ethnic minority
- 80%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 59%Grade C
- 10%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 312Total filings 2020-21
- 4.1Avg monthly (observed)
- 1.2Pre-pandemic baseline
- 3.50×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Minneapolis-Saint Paul, MN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Marcy-Holmes. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 13.5%Housing insecurity
- 7.8%Utility-shutoff threat
- 18.0%Food insecurity
- 12.3%SNAP enrollment
- 12.4%Transit barriers
- 10.2%No health insurance
- 21.4%Frequent mental distress
- 27.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Marcy-Holmes
This is renter territory: 98% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. What pushes it up most is local political climate at 9/10. 56% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly above the Hennepin County average of 43.1%.
Severe burden reaches 23%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.5/10. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1.7/10.
Average gross rent is $1,127, 18% below the Minneapolis average. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.
On the national scale it lands near the 91st percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 6.4/10.
Statewide the MN average is 4.5, so this tract runs 3.5 points hotter. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 27053003801
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27053003801?
Census tract 27053003801 in the Marcy-Holmes neighborhood scores 8/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 27053003801?
Median gross rent is $1,127/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 56% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 27053003801?
17.5% of residents in tract 27053003801 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,758.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 27053003801?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 60th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 82th, household 3th, minority 55th, housing 80th.
Q5
Is tract 27053003801 considered part of Marcy-Holmes?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 27053003801 fall within Marcy-Holmes (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 27053003801 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 3.50× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Minneapolis eviction risk-Saint Paul, MN), 2020-2021.
Q7
What share of households in tract 27053003801 struggle to pay rent?
About 13.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 27053003801 compare to Minneapolis overall?
Tract 27053003801 scores 8/10, higher than the parent city of Minneapolis at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Minneapolis eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 27053003801 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 10% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Minneapolis
Top eight tracts in Minneapolis ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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