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Neighborhood · Minneapolis, MN

Lyndale Eviction Risk: Elevated

2 census tracts · pop 8,044 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 6.2/10 · range 4.9–7.4

Lyndale is a white (non-hispanic) neighborhood in Minneapolis with 2 census tracts and a population of 8,044 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 6.2/10 (Elevated tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 40% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 23% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,171/month sits 15% lower than the Minneapolis citywide average ($1,371).

Risk score
6.2
Elevated
2 tracts · population-weighted
Lyndale vs Minneapolis How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
39.9% +36%
Minneapolis: 29.3%
Average gross rent
$1,171 -15%
Minneapolis: $1,371
Average HH income
$72,087 -10%
Minneapolis: $80,269
Poverty rate
18.6% +14%
Minneapolis: 16.4%
Renter share
63.9% +22%
Minneapolis: 52.3%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Lyndale and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 4.9–7.4

Why Lyndale scores 6.2

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 4.3–4.3 across tracts
4.3
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 7.2–7.2 across tracts
7.2
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 9.0–9.0 across tracts
9.0
Rent control risk
40% of income on rent · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
64% renter households · Range 8.5–8.5 across tracts
8.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 7.0–7.0 across tracts
7.0
Economic stress
18.6% below poverty line · Range 1.8–7.4 across tracts
4.7
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.5–2.5 across tracts
2.0
Risk score comparison

Lyndale vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Lyndale score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Lyndale: 6.26.2LyndaleNeighborhoodParent city: 6.46.4Parent cityhost cityState: 5.25.2Stateavg in stateU.S.: 4.74.7U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Lyndale

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
27053008200 7.4 4,121 50% $1,089
27053109300 4.9 3,923 29% $1,257
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 59

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 54%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 29%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 52%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 84%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Lyndale

Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 483Total filings (sum)
  • 3.52%Avg annual filing rate
  • 4.5%Peak year (2013)
  • 3.63%Latest filed (2013)

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 458Total filings 2020-21
  • 3.0Avg monthly observed
  • 2.8Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 1.07×Ratio to baseline

Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Minneapolis-Saint Paul, MN).

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Lyndale

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Lyndale

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Lyndale?

Lyndale scores 6.2/10 (Elevated tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Lyndale compare to Minneapolis overall?

Lyndale scores 0.2 points lower than Minneapolis overall (6.4/10). Renters spend 40% of income on rent vs 29% citywide. Average rent: $1,171 vs $1,371.
Q3

What is the average rent in Lyndale?

Average gross rent in Lyndale is $1,171/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 40% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Lyndale residents are renters?

64% of Lyndale households are renter-occupied (vs 52% in Minneapolis). The neighborhood has 8,044 residents.
Q5

Is Lyndale a high social-vulnerability area?

Lyndale sits in the 59th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Lyndale have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Lyndale is census tract 27053008200 (score 7.4/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 4.9 to 7.4, a spread of 2.5 points.
Q7

How safe is Lyndale for landlords?

Lyndale carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (6.2/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Minneapolis as a whole (6.4/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Lyndale?

Lyndale has 7,677 residents (White (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (64.8%), Black (non-Hispanic) (18.2%), Hispanic / Latino (7.4%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Lyndale

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Minneapolis

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Lyndale.

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