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Neighborhood · Minneapolis, MN

Lyndale Eviction Risk: Elevated

2 census tracts · pop 8,044 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 7.2/10 · range 6.4–8

Lyndale takes in 2 census tracts of Minneapolis, MN, population 8,044. Scored across those inputs it reaches 7.2/10, placing it in the Elevated tier. 40% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, clearly above the Minneapolis rate of 29.3%.

What pushes the score up most is tenant-organizing strength at 8.5/10. Severe burden reaches 23%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears.

The 2 tracts inside this boundary do not behave alike. Individual scores run 6.4 to 8, a 1.6-point gap wide enough that the area average misleads on any specific address. On the softer side is supply constraint, at 2/10.

The poverty rate is 19%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than the filing statistics suggest. Court records carry 483 eviction filings across its 2 observed tracts.

Sitting well above the midpoint is rent-regulation exposure at 7.5/10. At $1,171 a month, rents sit 15% under what the rest of Minneapolis commands. Filing activity peaked in 2013 at 4.5% of renter households.

Among the 75 mapped neighborhoods of Minneapolis, it ranks #33 by risk, the middle third. Judgments average 1.1% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order. Rent takes 19% of average household income, comfortably inside the 30% line and unusually low for a rental sub-market.

For a specific building, read the per-tract breakdown below rather than the 7.2 headline, because the internal range is too wide to average safely. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
7.2
Elevated
2 tracts · population-weighted
Lyndale vs Minneapolis How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
39.9% +36%
Minneapolis: 29.3%
Average gross rent
$1,171 -15%
Minneapolis: $1,371
Average HH income
$72,087 -10%
Minneapolis: $80,269
Poverty rate
18.6% +14%
Minneapolis: 16.4%
Renter share
63.9% +22%
Minneapolis: 52.3%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Lyndale and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 6.4–8

Why Lyndale scores 7.2

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 4.3–4.3 across tracts
4.3
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 7.2–7.2 across tracts
7.2
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 9.0–9.0 across tracts
9.0
Rent control risk
40% of income on rent · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
64% renter households · Range 8.5–8.5 across tracts
8.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 7.0–7.0 across tracts
7.0
Economic stress
18.6% below poverty line · Range 1.8–7.4 across tracts
4.7
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.5–2.5 across tracts
2.0
Risk score comparison

Lyndale vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Lyndale score vs. parent city, state, U.S.7.2LyndaleNeighborhood6.6Parent cityhost city4.5Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Lyndale

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕ Score↕ Pop↕ % over 30% on rent↕ Average rent↕
27053008200 8 4,121 50% $1,089
27053109300 6.4 3,923 29% $1,257
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 59

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 54%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 29%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 52%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 84%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Lyndale

Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 483Total filings (sum)
  • 3.52%Avg annual filing rate
  • 4.5%Peak year (2013)
  • 3.63%Latest filed (2013)

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 458Total filings 2020-21
  • 3.0Avg monthly observed
  • 2.8Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 1.07×Ratio to baseline

Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Minneapolis-Saint Paul, MN).

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Lyndale

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Lyndale

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Lyndale?

Lyndale scores 7.2/10 (Elevated tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Lyndale compare to Minneapolis overall?

Lyndale scores 0.6 points higher than Minneapolis overall (6.6/10). Renters spend 40% of income on rent vs 29% citywide. Average rent: $1,171 vs $1,371.
Q3

What is the average rent in Lyndale?

Average gross rent in Lyndale is $1,171/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 40% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Lyndale residents are renters?

64% of Lyndale households are renter-occupied (vs 52% in Minneapolis). The neighborhood has 8,044 residents.
Q5

Is Lyndale a high social-vulnerability area?

Lyndale sits in the 59th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Lyndale have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Lyndale is census tract 27053008200 (score 8/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 6.4 to 8, a spread of 1.6 points.
Q7

How safe is Lyndale for landlords?

Lyndale carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (7.2/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Minneapolis as a whole (6.6/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Lyndale?

Lyndale has 7,677 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (64.8%), Black (non-Hispanic) (18.2%), Hispanic / Latino (7.4%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Lyndale

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Minneapolis

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Lyndale.

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