Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #16,032 of 84,120 nationally
Lyndale Eviction Risk: Elevated , Minneapolis
Tract 27053109300 · Hennepin County, MN · pop 3,923 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
27053109300 is a census tract in the Lyndale area of Minneapolis, MN. It scores 6.4/10 for landlords. Population here is 3,923. Against Hennepin County at 43.1%, 29% of renters here are cost-burdened.
Risk score
6.4
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 16%
Stable renters 38%
Owners 46%
Tract context
Occupied units1,982
Renter share54.1%
SVI overall0.28
Poverty rate7.2%
Median income$94,038
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
30
th percentile
Low
Within county
72
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
89
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Minneapolis and the region
Centroid at 44.9377, -93.2814 · click any tract to drill in
Why Lyndale scores 6.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Minneapolis
9.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.2
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
7.2% poverty · this tract
1.8
Supply constraint
$1,257 rent vs county FMR
2.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Minneapolis
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Minneapolis
8.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Minneapolis
7.0
How Lyndale compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 28
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 23%Socioeconomic
- 9%Household composition
- 35%Racial/ethnic minority
- 71%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 100%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 177Total filings over 5 yrs
- 3.24%Avg annual filing rate
- 3.9%Peak (2012)
- 31Filings in 2013 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 5 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 136Total filings 2020-21
- 1.8Avg monthly (observed)
- 1.7Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.02×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Minneapolis-Saint Paul, MN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Lyndale. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 9.3%Housing insecurity
- 5.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 9.3%Food insecurity
- 5.7%SNAP enrollment
- 6.5%Transit barriers
- 7.1%No health insurance
- 15.3%Frequent mental distress
- 20.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Lyndale
What pushes it up most is local political climate at 9/10. On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.5/10. Severe burden reaches 18%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Running cool, economic stress reads 1.8/10. It sits 1.3 points above the Hennepin County average of 5.1.
SNAP participation runs 5.7% against 15.2% nationally. Food insecurity runs 9.3% against 17.8% nationally. Court records carry 177 eviction filings across 5 observed years.
The worst year on record was 2012, when 3.9% of renter households were served. At $1,257 a month, rents run 8% under what the rest of Minneapolis commands. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground B ("Still Desirable"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.
In a typical year about 3.2% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 81st percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 27053109300
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27053109300?
Census tract 27053109300 in the Lyndale neighborhood scores 6.4/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 27053109300?
Median gross rent is $1,257/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 29% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 27053109300?
7.2% of residents in tract 27053109300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,923.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 27053109300?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 28th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 23th, household 9th, minority 35th, housing 71th.
Q5
Is tract 27053109300 considered part of Lyndale?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 27053109300 fall within Lyndale (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27053109300?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 177 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 27053109300 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.24% of renter households, peaking at 3.9% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 27053109300 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.02× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Minneapolis eviction risk-Saint Paul, MN), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 27053109300 struggle to pay rent?
About 9.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 27053109300 compare to Minneapolis overall?
Tract 27053109300 scores 6.4/10, right in line with the parent city of Minneapolis at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Minneapolis eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q10
Was tract 27053109300 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Minneapolis
Top eight tracts in Minneapolis ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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