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Neighborhood · Minneapolis, MN

Central Eviction Risk: Elevated

3 census tracts · pop 6,237 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 7/10 · range 6.5–8

Central takes in 3 census tracts of Minneapolis, MN and houses 6,237 people. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 7/10, in the Elevated tier. Cost burden runs about half against 29.3% citywide, putting Central 23.0% over its own city.

What pushes the score up most is tenant-organizing strength at 8.5/10. The severe-burden share is 23%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay.

The 3 tracts inside this boundary do not behave alike. Individual scores run 6.5 to 8, a 1.5-point gap wide enough that the area average misleads on any specific address. Sitting well above the midpoint is rent-regulation exposure at 7.5/10. Filings are well documented here: 310 across 3 observed tracts.

On the high side is eviction-process difficulty at 7.5/10. Filing activity peaked in 2011 at 8.2% of renter households.

17.8% of adults carry no health insurance against 11.3% nationally, a common route into sudden unpayable debt. Average gross rent is $1,501, 9% above the Minneapolis average of $1,371. The most recent observed rate, 3.9% in 2013, is well off that peak.

That places it #38 of 75 neighborhoods in Minneapolis. Social vulnerability runs high at 9/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input.

For a specific building, read the per-tract breakdown below rather than the 7 headline, because the internal range is too wide to average safely. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
7
Elevated
3 tracts · population-weighted
Central vs Minneapolis How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
52.3% +78%
Minneapolis: 29.3%
Average gross rent
$1,501 +9%
Minneapolis: $1,371
Average HH income
$83,964 +5%
Minneapolis: $80,269
Poverty rate
15.0% -8%
Minneapolis: 16.4%
Renter share
44.0% -16%
Minneapolis: 52.3%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Central and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 3 tracts span score 6.5–8

Why Central scores 7

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 4.3–4.3 across tracts
4.3
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 7.2–7.2 across tracts
7.2
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 9.0–9.0 across tracts
9.0
Rent control risk
52% of income on rent · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
44% renter households · Range 8.5–8.5 across tracts
8.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 7.0–7.0 across tracts
7.0
Economic stress
15.0% below poverty line · Range 1.5–8.3 across tracts
3.8
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.7–4.1 across tracts
3.9
Risk score comparison

Central vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Central score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Central: 7.07.0CentralNeighborhoodParent city: 6.66.6Parent cityhost cityState: 4.54.5Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Central?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 1.5 points from 6.5 to 8. Moderate variation across constituent tracts.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

3 tracts in Central

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
27053008300 8 1,913 42% $1,503
27053008400 6.5 2,309 57% $1,535
27053109400 6.5 2,015 56% $1,459
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 89

Pop-weighted across 3 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 79%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 85%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 75%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 85%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Central

Aggregated across 3 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 310Total filings (sum)
  • 6.18%Avg annual filing rate
  • 8.2%Peak year (2011)
  • 3.93%Latest filed (2013)

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 182Total filings 2020-21
  • 0.8Avg monthly observed
  • 0.9Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.87×Ratio to baseline

Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Minneapolis-Saint Paul, MN).

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Central

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Central

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Central?

Central scores 7/10 (Elevated tier) across 3 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Central compare to Minneapolis overall?

Central scores 0.4 points higher than Minneapolis overall (6.6/10). Renters spend 52% of income on rent vs 29% citywide. Average rent: $1,501 vs $1,371.
Q3

What is the average rent in Central?

Average gross rent in Central is $1,501/month (pop-weighted across 3 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 52% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Central residents are renters?

44% of Central households are renter-occupied (vs 52% in Minneapolis). The neighborhood has 6,237 residents.
Q5

Is Central a high social-vulnerability area?

Central sits in the 89th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Central have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Central is census tract 27053008300 (score 8/10). Across the 3 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 6.5 to 8, a spread of 1.5 points.
Q7

How safe is Central for landlords?

Central carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (7/10). Pop-weighted across 3 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Minneapolis as a whole (6.6/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Central?

Central has 6,605 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (37.8%), Black (non-Hispanic) (28.3%), Hispanic / Latino (23.9%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Central

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Minneapolis

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Central.

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