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Neighborhood · Minneapolis, MN

Central Eviction Risk: Elevated

3 census tracts · pop 6,237 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 7/10 · range 6.5–8

Central takes in 3 census tracts of Minneapolis, MN and houses 6,237 people. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 7/10, in the Elevated tier. Cost burden runs about half against 29.3% citywide, putting Central 23.0% over its own city.

What pushes the score up most is tenant-organizing strength at 8.5/10. The severe-burden share is 23%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay.

The 3 tracts inside this boundary do not behave alike. Individual scores run 6.5 to 8, a 1.5-point gap wide enough that the area average misleads on any specific address. Sitting well above the midpoint is rent-regulation exposure at 7.5/10. Filings are well documented here: 310 across 3 observed tracts.

On the high side is eviction-process difficulty at 7.5/10. Filing activity peaked in 2011 at 8.2% of renter households.

17.8% of adults carry no health insurance against 11.3% nationally, a common route into sudden unpayable debt. Average gross rent is $1,501, 9% above the Minneapolis average of $1,371. The most recent observed rate, 3.9% in 2013, is well off that peak.

That places it #38 of 75 neighborhoods in Minneapolis. Social vulnerability runs high at 9/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input.

For a specific building, read the per-tract breakdown below rather than the 7 headline, because the internal range is too wide to average safely. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
7
Elevated
3 tracts · population-weighted
Central vs Minneapolis How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
52.3% +78%
Minneapolis: 29.3%
Average gross rent
$1,501 +9%
Minneapolis: $1,371
Average HH income
$83,964 +5%
Minneapolis: $80,269
Poverty rate
15.0% -8%
Minneapolis: 16.4%
Renter share
44.0% -16%
Minneapolis: 52.3%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Central and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 3 tracts span score 6.5–8

Why Central scores 7

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 4.3–4.3 across tracts
4.3
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 7.2–7.2 across tracts
7.2
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 9.0–9.0 across tracts
9.0
Rent control risk
52% of income on rent · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
44% renter households · Range 8.5–8.5 across tracts
8.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 7.0–7.0 across tracts
7.0
Economic stress
15.0% below poverty line · Range 1.5–8.3 across tracts
3.8
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.7–4.1 across tracts
3.9
Risk score comparison

Central vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Central score vs. parent city, state, U.S.7.0CentralNeighborhood6.6Parent cityhost city4.5Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Central?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 1.5 points from 6.5 to 8. Moderate variation across constituent tracts.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

3 tracts in Central

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕ Score↕ Pop↕ % over 30% on rent↕ Average rent↕
27053008300 8 1,913 42% $1,503
27053008400 6.5 2,309 57% $1,535
27053109400 6.5 2,015 56% $1,459
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 89

Pop-weighted across 3 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 79%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 85%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 75%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 85%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Central

Aggregated across 3 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 310Total filings (sum)
  • 6.18%Avg annual filing rate
  • 8.2%Peak year (2011)
  • 3.93%Latest filed (2013)

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 182Total filings 2020-21
  • 0.8Avg monthly observed
  • 0.9Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.87×Ratio to baseline

Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Minneapolis-Saint Paul, MN).

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Central

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Central

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Central?

Central scores 7/10 (Elevated tier) across 3 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Central compare to Minneapolis overall?

Central scores 0.4 points higher than Minneapolis overall (6.6/10). Renters spend 52% of income on rent vs 29% citywide. Average rent: $1,501 vs $1,371.
Q3

What is the average rent in Central?

Average gross rent in Central is $1,501/month (pop-weighted across 3 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 52% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Central residents are renters?

44% of Central households are renter-occupied (vs 52% in Minneapolis). The neighborhood has 6,237 residents.
Q5

Is Central a high social-vulnerability area?

Central sits in the 89th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Central have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Central is census tract 27053008300 (score 8/10). Across the 3 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 6.5 to 8, a spread of 1.5 points.
Q7

How safe is Central for landlords?

Central carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (7/10). Pop-weighted across 3 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Minneapolis as a whole (6.6/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Central?

Central has 6,605 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (37.8%), Black (non-Hispanic) (28.3%), Hispanic / Latino (23.9%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Central

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Minneapolis

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Central.

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