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Neighborhood · Minneapolis, MN

Prospect Park Eviction Risk: High

2 census tracts · pop 8,389 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 8/10 · range 8–8

Prospect Park spans 2 census tracts of Minneapolis, MN, population 8,389. Scored across those inputs it reaches 8/10, placing it in the High tier. Against a Minneapolis baseline of 29.3%, 63% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.

Severe burden reaches 37%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. The poverty rate is 43%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than the filing statistics suggest.

The strongest single driver of the headline number is economic stress at 9.3/10. Annualized rent equals 40% of average household income here, past the 30% affordability line, which compresses the margin any screening standard has to work with. This is a renter market: 80% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.

Sitting well above the midpoint is tenant-organizing strength at 8.5/10. Court records for this tract carry 53 eviction filings. Running hot is rent-regulation exposure at 7.5/10.

The worst year on record was 2013, when filings touched 2.9% of renter households. Among the 75 mapped neighborhoods of Minneapolis, it ranks #1 by risk, the upper third. Judgments average 0.7% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order.

For a like-for-like read, Harrison and Stevens Square score within a fraction of it.

With little internal variation, 8/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
8
High
2 tracts · population-weighted
Prospect Park vs Minneapolis How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
63.2% +116%
Minneapolis: 29.3%
Average gross rent
$1,447 +6%
Minneapolis: $1,371
Average HH income
$43,922 -45%
Minneapolis: $80,269
Poverty rate
42.7% +161%
Minneapolis: 16.4%
Renter share
79.5% +52%
Minneapolis: 52.3%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Prospect Park and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 8–8

Why Prospect Park scores 8

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 4.3–4.3 across tracts
4.3
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 7.2–7.2 across tracts
7.2
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 9.0–9.0 across tracts
9.0
Rent control risk
63% of income on rent · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
80% renter households · Range 8.5–8.5 across tracts
8.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 7.0–7.0 across tracts
7.0
Economic stress
42.7% below poverty line · Range 8.4–10.0 across tracts
9.3
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.6–4.8 across tracts
3.6
Risk score comparison

Prospect Park vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Prospect Park score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Prospect Park: 8.08.0Prospect ParkNeighborhoodParent city: 6.66.6Parent cityhost cityState: 4.54.5Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Prospect Park

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
27053104902 8 4,714 63% $1,288
27053125600 8 3,675 64% $1,651
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 66

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 76%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 5%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 59%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 92%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Prospect Park

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 53Total filings (sum)
  • 1.75%Avg annual filing rate
  • 2.9%Peak year (2013)
  • 2.90%Latest filed (2013)

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 411Total filings 2020-21
  • 2.7Avg monthly observed
  • 1.7Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 1.64×Ratio to baseline

Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Minneapolis-Saint Paul, MN).

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Prospect Park

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Prospect Park

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Prospect Park?

Prospect Park scores 8/10 (High tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Prospect Park compare to Minneapolis overall?

Prospect Park scores 1.4 points higher than Minneapolis overall (6.6/10). Renters spend 63% of income on rent vs 29% citywide. Average rent: $1,447 vs $1,371.
Q3

What is the average rent in Prospect Park?

Average gross rent in Prospect Park is $1,447/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 63% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Prospect Park residents are renters?

80% of Prospect Park households are renter-occupied (vs 52% in Minneapolis). The neighborhood has 8,389 residents.
Q5

Is Prospect Park a high social-vulnerability area?

Prospect Park sits in the 66th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Prospect Park have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Prospect Park is census tract 27053104902 (score 8/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 8 to 8, a spread of 0 points.
Q7

How safe is Prospect Park for landlords?

Prospect Park carries a high-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (8/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Minneapolis as a whole (6.6/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Prospect Park?

Prospect Park has 8,332 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (59%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (18.3%), Black (non-Hispanic) (13.5%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Prospect Park

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Minneapolis

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Prospect Park.

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