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Willow River, Minnesota eviction risk overview
City brief · 342 residents

Willow River, MN Eviction Risk: MODERATE

Pine County · Population 342

In 2026
Risk score
5
MODERATE

83th percentile, Minnesota.

50-yr Eviction Risk Score history

1976 to 2026 · climbing fast since 2010

Min2.3 Average3.4 Now5
5.2 2.3 1976 · score 2.9 1977 · score 2.8 1978 · score 2.8 1979 · score 2.8 1980 · score 2.9 1981 · score 2.8 1982 · score 2.9 1983 · score 2.8 1984 · score 2.5 1985 · score 2.4 1986 · score 2.3 1987 · score 2.3 1988 · score 2.5 1989 · score 2.6 1990 · score 2.6 1991 · score 2.7 1992 · score 2.9 1993 · score 2.9 1994 · score 2.9 1995 · score 2.9 1996 · score 3.1 1997 · score 3.1 1998 · score 3.1 1999 · score 3.2 2000 · score 3.2 2001 · score 3.2 2002 · score 3.2 2003 · score 3.2 2004 · score 3.2 2005 · score 3.3 2006 · score 3.3 2007 · score 3.4 2008 · score 3.7 2009 · score 3.9 2010 · score 3.9 2011 · score 3.9 2012 · score 3.8 2013 · score 3.8 2014 · score 3.8 2015 · score 3.8 2016 · score 3.8 2017 · score 3.8 2018 · score 3.7 2019 · score 3.7 2020 · score 5.0 2021 · score 5.2 2022 · score 4.3 2023 · score 4.0 2024 · score 5.1 2025 · score 5.0 2026 · score 5.0

Key metrics

Time machine

Scrub 50 years

2026
● LIVE · today ◀ REPLAY · historical

Nine-axis profile

9-axis profile · today

Shape of the risk surface

1 landlord · 10 tenant
Local 4.1 Regional 4.1 State 4.3 Economic 6.6 Supply 5.2 Rent Control 3.7 Eviction 4.0 Tenant 7.2 Housing 4.1 5 MODERATE
Sub-scores · with sparkline

Where the score comes from

1 → 10 scale
  1. Local political climate
    GOP margin +35.2% (2024)
    4.1
  2. Regional political climate
    County-weighted neighbor mix
    4.1
  3. State political climate
    Minnesota legislature & governorship
    4.3
  4. Economic stress
    8.3% poverty · 9.1% unemp.
    6.6
  5. Supply constraint
    $743 average · 36.9% renters
    5.2
  6. Rent Control risk
    23.7% of income on rent
    3.7
  7. Eviction process difficulty
    86 days filing → judgment
    4.0
  8. Tenant organizing strength
    36.9% renters
    7.2
  9. Housing court bias
    County bench composition
    4.1
Geographic context

Risk heat across Willow River and the region

Click any city to see its score

How Willow River compares

Risk score vs. peers, county, state, and the U.S.
Rank in Pine County
Elevated
#4 of 12 cities
Rank in county, 73rd percentileLowHigh
#4 of 12 cities in Pine County for landlord eviction risk.
Rank in Minnesota
Elevated
#230 of 909 cities
Rank in state, 75th percentileLowHigh
#230 of 909 cities in Minnesota for landlord eviction risk.
vs. county · state · U.S.
Willow River risk score vs. county / state / U.S.Willow River: 5.05.0Willow RiverThis cityCounty: 4.84.8Countyavg in countyState: 5.25.2Stateavg in stateU.S.: 4.74.7U.S.national avg
Score story

Six-stop tour of the risk profile

  1. 5
    / 10 · MODERATE
    The verdict

    A Moderate-tier market.

    Composite 5/10. Mid-range market; standard documentation usually wins. The 50-year curve shows a sharp climb.

    50-yr trend+2.1 over 50 yr
    197620012026

    Steepening since 2010 · COVID inflection visible

  2. 86d
    Typical timeline
    The money

    What renting (and evicting) looks like.

    Rent published at $743/mo. A contested eviction takes 86 days and costs $4,582–$11,119 per case.

    50-yr trendCalendar drag rising since '15
    197620012026

    Court-clerk data lands in the next release.

  3. 36.9%
    Renters
    The renters

    Who you'll be renting to.

    Out of 342 residents, 36.9% rent. 24% are spending 30%+ income on rent, 8.3% below the poverty line.

    50-yr trendRenter share rising
    197620012026

    ACS 1970-present · once the migration overlay is in.

  4. 4.1
    Local + regional
    The politics

    Mid-range climate. Not a coastal market.

    Local & regional political climate score 4.1 and 4.1 (GOP margin +35.2% (2024)). State climate at 4.3, a mid-range statehouse.

    50-yr trendTracks county vote margin
    197620012026

    Built on 50-yr presidential margins back to 1976.

  5. 4.3
    State politics
    The process

    Moderate calendar, moderate friction.

    State political climate 4.3/10 sets the legislative ceiling for landlord remedies, and it shows up in the process. Eviction process difficulty reads 4, housing court bias 4.1, rent-control risk 3.7. Standard process speed for the state.

    50-yr trendProcess difficulty +-1.0 since '00
    197620012026

    Court-clerk data lands in the next release.

  6. 6.6
    Economic stress
    The stress

    Economic pressure is the background risk.

    Economic stress: 6.6. Supply constraint: 5.2. The numbers behind those: 8.3% poverty, 9.1% unemployment, 24% of income on rent.

    50-yr trendTwo visible dips · '08 + COVID
    197620012026

    Mirrors BLS unemployment series.

US eviction landscape · timeline × all-in cost

Willow River sits in the slow & expensive quadrant

Bubble size = population · color = risk score
QUICK BUT COSTLY fast docket · high all-in loss SLOW & EXPENSIVE long calendar · high all-in loss QUICK & CHEAP fast docket · low all-in loss SLOW BUT CHEAP long calendar · low all-in loss 30d 50d 75d 100d 150d 200d 300d 450d $2.0k $3.0k $5.0k $7.5k $10k $15k $20k $30k EVICTION TIMELINE (DAYS) → ↑ ALL-IN COST (LOG SCALE) Duluth, MN · 101d · ~$7.3k all-in ($72/day) · score 5.8 Duluth Minneapolis, MN · 94d · ~$7.4k all-in ($78/day) · score 6.4 Minneapolis St. Paul, MN · 91d · ~$7.2k all-in ($79/day) · score 6.6 St. Paul Rochester, MN · 92d · ~$6.7k all-in ($73/day) · score 5.4 Rochester Bloomington, MN · 86d · ~$7.9k all-in ($92/day) · score 5.7 Bloomington Brooklyn Park, MN · 90d · ~$7.6k all-in ($85/day) · score 5.1 Brooklyn Park Plymouth, MN · 89d · ~$7.5k all-in ($84/day) · score 4.7 Plymouth Woodbury, MN · 92d · ~$7.4k all-in ($81/day) · score 4.7 Woodbury Lakeville, MN · 97d · ~$8.0k all-in ($82/day) · score 4.9 Lakeville Blaine, MN · 85d · ~$7.6k all-in ($90/day) · score 4.9 Blaine Houston, TX · 24d · ~$2.5k all-in ($103/day) · score 2.8 Houston Phoenix, AZ · 38d · ~$3.3k all-in ($86/day) · score 2.8 Phoenix Memphis, TN · 31d · ~$2.0k all-in ($66/day) · score 3.1 Memphis Atlanta, GA · 40d · ~$2.8k all-in ($69/day) · score 3.4 Atlanta Boston, MA · 187d · ~$20.3k all-in ($109/day) · score 7.1 Boston Chicago, IL · 109d · ~$9.0k all-in ($82/day) · score 5.7 Chicago New York, NY · 417d · ~$29.5k all-in ($71/day) · score 9.7 New York Seattle, WA · 162d · ~$12.7k all-in ($79/day) · score 7.9 Seattle Willow River
Willow River · 86d · ~$7.9k all-in ($91/day) · score 5 National average: 58d · $4.6k all-in Hover any bubble for stats · click to open Color: 0–4   4–7   7–10
00Overview

About eviction risk in Willow River, MN

Landlording in Willow River, Minnesota, presents a manageable operating environment for documented landlords. The Eviction Risk Score is 5/10 (MODERATE tier), drawn from the nine sub-axes shown above, covering rent-control exposure, eviction-process difficulty, housing-court bias, tenant-organizing strength, supply constraint, economic stress, and local, regional, and state political climate. This is not a quick-fix market: it's a Mid-tier market where lease drafting, screening discipline, and well-documented notices materially change outcomes.

Willow River is a city of 342 residents where 36.9% of occupied units are renter-occupied, and the typical renter spends 23.7% of income on rent. At an average rent of $743/month, the typical renter household here spends more than the federal 30% threshold on housing, a leading indicator of payment volatility and a precondition for the kinds of tenant defenses that show up most often in housing court.

01Process

How Willow River eviction process actually works

Eviction process difficulty here reads 4/10, a number that combines statutory complexity (notice categories, just-cause rules, mandatory pre-filing disclosures) with operational realities (court calendar length and clerk responsiveness). The typical contested filing in Willow River closes 86 days after the initial notice. For non-payment of rent the first step is a properly-formatted, properly-served pay-or-quit notice; for material lease breaches it's a cure-or-quit; for tenancies under just-cause protection an at-fault grounds notice (or a no-fault notice with statutory relocation assistance) is required.

The slow part of Willow River's timeline is usually the calendar, not the motion practice. Housing court bias scores 4.1/10 here, meaning judges read borderline procedural defects in the tenant's favor more often than the national norm. The practical implication: every notice and every proof of service needs to be airtight before it gets filed.

02Cost

What it costs (and how long it takes)

An all-in eviction in Willow River runs $4,582 to $11,119 per case once you account for filing fees, attorney time, lost rent during pendency, sheriff lockout, and unit turnover. That range is wide because the upper bound assumes a tenant answer plus motion practice, common when housing court bias is high. The lower bound assumes a default judgment after proper service.

For landlords running the numbers on holding costs vs. cash-for-keys: if your projected timeline times your monthly rent already exceeds the high-end cost number, cash-for-keys at 1–2 months' rent is typically the economically rational choice. With 86 days of typical timeline and $743/month in lost rent, that crossover happens fast here.

03Operations

Security deposits, screening, and lease terms

Tenant organizing strength scores 7.2/10 in Willow River, and the city has limited rent control exposure (3.7/10). Operations practice that survives audit in this environment looks like:

  • Screening discipline. Document income (verified at 2.5 to 3x rent), credit (with a clear minimum), and prior-tenancy reference checks, but do not screen on protected categories or source-of-income where banned. Keep a written, consistent screening criteria document for every applicant.
  • Lease specificity. Use a state-specific lease that names every term clearly: rent due date, late fees within statutory caps, deposit handling, smoke and CO disclosure, lead paint disclosure (pre-1978 stock), and a clean attorney's-fees clause.
  • Security deposit handling. Itemize deductions within the statutory window. Photograph move-in/move-out condition. In Minnesota, deposit cap and refund window are statute, so exceed them at your own risk.
  • Mid-tenancy documentation. Keep date-stamped records of every rent receipt, every habitability request, every notice served. The day you need them in court is too late to start.
04Strategy

What an everyday landlord should actually do here

If you own one to four units in Willow River: hire a property manager who knows the local court. The pricing differential between self-managing and hiring out is small relative to the cost of one botched eviction in a MODERATE tier market. If you own five or more: build relationships with a local landlord-side attorney before you need one, since retainer fees are negligible compared to emergency-rate billing when an eviction is already moving.

The avoidable mistakes here are all upstream of the filing: weak screening, an informal lease, sloppy rent receipts, and notice templates pulled off the internet that don't match Minnesota's statutory language. Fix those four, and most cases settle or default. Skip them, and a $11,119 all-in fight is the realistic worst case.

04bPractical traps

Local traps to avoid in Willow River

Trap · 36.9%
36.9% renter share against 342 residents produces roughly 126 rental occupants in Willow River. Pine County voted R 30.2% in 2020. Eviction filings tend to cluster in the multifamily rental corridor.
04Eviction filings

Live filings tracking · Eviction Lab

Princeton Eviction Lab Tracking System, state-level (no county tracker available). Last update 2026-05-01.

In the most recent month, 2,011 eviction cases were filed across the tracker's coverage area, 1.03× the historical baseline (near baseline). Past 12 months: 26,070 filings. Pandemic-era cumulative: 113,788.

  • 2,011Past month
  • 26,070Past 12 months
  • 1.03×vs baseline (past mo)
  • 11.5%Repeat-tenant filings
Notice requirement: no advance notice (in the case of nonpayment of rent). Filing fee: minimum filing fee of $310.
Last 36 months of filings 2023-05-01 – 2026-04-01
Monthly eviction filings (Eviction Lab tracker)2023-05-01: 2,406 filings (1.11× hist)2023-06-01: 2,249 filings (1.11× hist)2023-07-01: 1,968 filings (0.97× hist)2023-08-01: 2,067 filings (0.99× hist)2023-09-01: 2,000 filings (0.98× hist)2023-10-01: 2,140 filings (0.98× hist)2023-11-01: 1,695 filings (0.91× hist)2023-12-01: 2,018 filings (0.95× hist)2024-01-01: 1,152 filings (0.64× hist)2024-02-01: 1,854 filings (0.92× hist)2024-03-01: 1,913 filings (0.92× hist)2024-04-01: 1,779 filings (0.91× hist)2024-05-01: 1,923 filings (0.89× hist)2024-06-01: 1,794 filings (0.89× hist)2024-07-01: 2,108 filings (1.03× hist)2024-08-01: 2,124 filings (1.01× hist)2024-09-01: 2,063 filings (1.02× hist)2024-10-01: 2,232 filings (1.02× hist)2024-11-01: 2,035 filings (1.09× hist)2024-12-01: 2,211 filings (1.05× hist)2025-01-01: 2,590 filings (1.45× hist)2025-02-01: 2,151 filings (1.11× hist)2025-03-01: 1,729 filings (0.83× hist)2025-04-01: 1,873 filings (0.96× hist)2025-05-01: 2,010 filings (0.93× hist)2025-06-01: 2,057 filings (1.02× hist)2025-07-01: 2,357 filings (1.16× hist)2025-08-01: 2,139 filings (1.02× hist)2025-09-01: 2,457 filings (1.21× hist)2025-10-01: 2,352 filings (1.08× hist)2025-11-01: 2,032 filings (1.09× hist)2025-12-01: 2,170 filings (1.03× hist)2026-01-01: 2,348 filings (1.31× hist)2026-02-01: 2,100 filings (1.08× hist)2026-03-01: 2,037 filings (0.98× hist)2026-04-01: 2,011 filings (1.03× hist)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 12 months.
05FAQ

Frequently asked questions

Q1

Can I evict a tenant in Willow River without a lawyer?

Yes, you can represent yourself in an eviction case in Minnesota. However, the legal process is complex, and even minor errors in notices, filings, or court procedure can lead to delays or dismissal of your case. For most landlords, especially those with limited legal experience, hiring an attorney is highly recommended to ensure compliance and increase the chances of a successful eviction.

Q2

How much notice do I need to give for a rent increase in Willow River?

Minnesota law generally requires that you provide notice for a rent increase equal to the interval between rent payments (e.g., 30 days for a month-to-month lease) unless your lease specifies a longer period. Always refer to your specific lease agreement first, and ensure the notice is in writing.

Q3

What if my tenant leaves belongings behind after an eviction in Willow River?

Under Minn. Stat. § 504B.271, you have specific obligations regarding abandoned property. You must store the property for at least 28 days and make a reasonable effort to notify the tenant of where their belongings are being held. If the property is not claimed, you can dispose of it after the 28 days, but you may have to follow specific procedures for selling or donating items of value. Consult legal counsel for proper handling.

Q4

Are there any rent control laws in Willow River, MN?

No, there are no statewide rent control laws in Minnesota, and Willow River does not have any local rent control ordinances. This means you are generally free to set rent prices and increase them with proper notice, as long as it's not discriminatory or retaliatory.

Q5

Can I charge a late fee for rent in Willow River?

Yes, you can charge a late fee, but it must be reasonable and clearly stated in your lease agreement. Minnesota law does not specify a maximum late fee amount, but courts generally scrutinize fees that appear excessive or punitive. A common standard is around 5% of the monthly rent.

06Score

What this score means for landlords2

A 5/10 places Willow River in the 83rd percentile of Minnesota cities on the Eviction Risk Score index. The score is the average of the nine sub-axes, all calibrated on a national 1 to 10 scale where 1 is most landlord-friendly and 10 is most tenant-protective. The 50-year reconstruction shows this score has risen sharply since 1976, a structural drift driven by court-calendar growth, rent-control adoption, and the rise of tenant-side legal aid. The trajectory matters more than the snapshot: the score is the climate, not the weather.