Census Tract · Ranked #65,113 of 84,120 nationally
Roseville Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 27123041400 ·
Ramsey County, MN · pop 5,536
With a score of 5.7/10, tract 27123041400 in Roseville ranks in the Moderate tier for landlord eviction risk. The tract is home to 5,536 residents. That is riskier than roughly 64% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
About 55% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 24% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,435 a month against an average household income of $95,408 a year, roughly 18% of income at the averages. Renters make up 34% of occupied homes.
Risk score
2.6
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 19%Stable renters 15%Owners 66%
Tract context
Occupied units2,443
Renter share33.7%
SVI overall0.66
Poverty rate7.3%
Median income$95,408
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
43th percentile
#5 of 8 tracts In Roseville
Moderate
Within county
16th percentile
#121 of 143 tracts In Ramsey County
Very Low
Within state
37th percentile
#951 of 1,502 tracts In Minnesota
Low
National
23th percentile
#65,113 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Roseville and the region
Centroid at 45.0227, -93.1576 · click any tract to drill in
Why Roseville scores 2.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Roseville
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
7.3% poverty · this tract
1.8
Supply constraint
$1,435 rent vs county FMR
3.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Roseville
6.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Roseville
6.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Roseville
5.4
How Roseville compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 66
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
35%Socioeconomic
60%Household composition
46%Racial/ethnic minority
95%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
158Total filings over 7 yrs
2.13%Avg annual filing rate
2.5%Peak (2014)
11Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year2009 to 2015
Filings dropped 58% over the past 7 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
150Total filings 2020-21
2.0Avg monthly (observed)
1.5Pre-pandemic baseline
1.30×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–20212020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Minneapolis-Saint Paul, MN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
8.6%Housing insecurity
5.0%Utility-shutoff threat
10.7%Food insecurity
6.6%SNAP enrollment
6.7%Transit barriers
6.8%No health insurance
14.7%Frequent mental distress
26.4%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Roseville
The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 6.9/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Roseville eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Ramsey County average of 6.0 and above the Minnesota statewide average of 5.0. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 158 eviction filings here over 7 tracked years, with about 2.1% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 2.5% of renter households in 2014.
In CDC survey modeling, about 8.6% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 5.0% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 27123041400
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27123041400?
Census tract 27123041400 in Roseville scores 2.6/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 27123041400?
Median gross rent is $1,435/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 27123041400?
7.3% of residents in tract 27123041400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,536.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 27123041400?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 66th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 35th, household 60th, minority 46th, housing 95th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27123041400?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 158 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 27123041400 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.13% of renter households, peaking at 2.5% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 27123041400 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.30× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Minneapolis eviction risk-Saint Paul, MN), 2020-2021.
Q7
What share of households in tract 27123041400 struggle to pay rent?
About 8.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 27123041400 compare to Roseville overall?
Tract 27123041400 scores 2.6/10, lower than the parent city of Roseville at 5.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Roseville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Roseville
Top eight tracts in Roseville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.