Census Tract · Ranked #41,065 of 84,120 nationally
New Brighton Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 27123041200 ·
Ramsey County, MN · pop 3,998
Census tract 27123041200 sits in New Brighton eviction risk, Minnesota eviction laws, and carries an eviction-risk score of 5.8/10. On the national scale it ranks #26,886 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 58% of renter households, a severe level, and 28% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,169 a month against an average household income of $68,438 a year, roughly 20% of income at the averages. About 43% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 25%Stable renters 18%Owners 57%
Tract context
Occupied units1,860
Renter share42.8%
SVI overall0.91
Poverty rate9.7%
Median income$68,438
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
75th percentile
#2 of 5 tracts In New Brighton
High
Within county
42th percentile
#84 of 143 tracts In Ramsey County
Moderate
Within state
62th percentile
#572 of 1,502 tracts In Minnesota
Elevated
National
51th percentile
#41,065 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across New Brighton and the region
Centroid at 45.0581, -93.1967 · click any tract to drill in
Why New Brighton scores 4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from New Brighton
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
9.7% poverty · this tract
2.4
Supply constraint
$1,169 rent vs county FMR
1.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from New Brighton
7.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from New Brighton
7.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from New Brighton
6.2
How New Brighton compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 91
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
64%Socioeconomic
82%Household composition
58%Racial/ethnic minority
100%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
380Total filings over 7 yrs
6.33%Avg annual filing rate
10.6%Peak (2012)
21Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year2009 to 2015
Filings dropped 62% over the past 7 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
363Total filings 2020-21
4.7Avg monthly (observed)
3.2Pre-pandemic baseline
1.49×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–20212020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Minneapolis-Saint Paul, MN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
12.9%Housing insecurity
7.8%Utility-shutoff threat
16.0%Food insecurity
10.9%SNAP enrollment
9.5%Transit barriers
8.6%No health insurance
17.6%Frequent mental distress
29.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in New Brighton
What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 7.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from New Brighton eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Ramsey County average of 6.0 and above the Minnesota statewide average of 5.0. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 1.49x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, above pre-pandemic levels.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 380 eviction filings here over 7 tracked years, with about 6.3% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 10.6% of renter households in 2012.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 27123041200
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27123041200?
Census tract 27123041200 in New Brighton scores 4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 27123041200?
Median gross rent is $1,169/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 58% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 27123041200?
9.7% of residents in tract 27123041200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,998.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 27123041200?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 91th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 64th, household 82th, minority 58th, housing 100th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27123041200?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 380 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 27123041200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.33% of renter households, peaking at 10.6% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 27123041200 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.49× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Minneapolis eviction risk-Saint Paul, MN), 2020-2021.
Q7
What share of households in tract 27123041200 struggle to pay rent?
About 12.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 27123041200 compare to New Brighton overall?
Tract 27123041200 scores 4/10, lower than the parent city of New Brighton at 5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from New Brighton eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in New Brighton
Top eight tracts in New Brighton ranked by composite eviction-risk score.