Within parent city
75
th percentile
High
Census Tract · Ranked #35,669 of 84,120 nationally
New Brighton Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 27123041200 · Ramsey County, MN · pop 3,998
With a score of 4.8/10, tract 27123041200 in New Brighton, MN reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 3,998. The severe-burden share is 28%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
4.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 25%
Stable renters 18%
Owners 57%
Tract context
Occupied units1,860
Renter share42.8%
SVI overall0.91
Poverty rate9.7%
Median income$68,438
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
35
th percentile
Low
Within state
66
th percentile
Elevated
National
58
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across New Brighton and the region
Centroid at 45.0581, -93.1967 · click any tract to drill in
Why New Brighton scores 4.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from New Brighton
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
9.7% poverty · this tract
2.4
Supply constraint
$1,169 rent vs county FMR
1.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from New Brighton
7.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from New Brighton
7.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from New Brighton
6.2
How New Brighton compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 91
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 64%Socioeconomic
- 82%Household composition
- 58%Racial/ethnic minority
- 100%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 380Total filings over 7 yrs
- 6.33%Avg annual filing rate
- 10.6%Peak (2012)
- 21Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 62% over the past 7 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 363Total filings 2020-21
- 4.7Avg monthly (observed)
- 3.2Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.49×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Minneapolis-Saint Paul, MN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 12.9%Housing insecurity
- 7.8%Utility-shutoff threat
- 16.0%Food insecurity
- 10.9%SNAP enrollment
- 9.5%Transit barriers
- 8.6%No health insurance
- 17.6%Frequent mental distress
- 29.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in New Brighton
Against Ramsey County at 47.3%, 58% of renters here are cost-burdened. The clearest offset is supply constraint at 1.9/10.
Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 2.4/10. On the high side, local political climate reads 7.5/10. At $1,169 a month, rents run 16% under what the rest of New Brighton commands.
Court records carry 380 eviction filings across 7 observed years. Against the Ramsey County average of 5.6, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.8 points. Filings peaked in 2012 at 10.6% of renter households.
In a typical year about 6.3% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 58th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 9.2/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 27123041200
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27123041200?
Census tract 27123041200 in New Brighton scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 27123041200?
Median gross rent is $1,169/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 58% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 27123041200?
9.7% of residents in tract 27123041200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,998.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 27123041200?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 91th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 64th, household 82th, minority 58th, housing 100th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27123041200?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 380 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 27123041200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.33% of renter households, peaking at 10.6% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 27123041200 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.49× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Minneapolis eviction risk-Saint Paul, MN), 2020-2021.
Q7
What share of households in tract 27123041200 struggle to pay rent?
About 12.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 27123041200 compare to New Brighton overall?
Tract 27123041200 scores 4.8/10, right in line with the parent city of New Brighton at 4.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from New Brighton eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in New Brighton
Top eight tracts in New Brighton ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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