Within neighborhood
25
th percentile
Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #31,049 of 84,120 nationally
Lexington - Hamline Eviction Risk: Moderate , St. Paul
Tract 27123035300 · Ramsey County, MN · pop 3,952 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
27123035300 is a census tract in the Lexington - Hamline area of St. Paul, MN. It scores 5.1/10 for landlords. Population here is 3,952. The score leans hardest on local political climate at 9/10.
Risk score
5.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 14%
Stable renters 24%
Owners 62%
Tract context
Occupied units1,912
Renter share37.8%
SVI overall0.12
Poverty rate6.7%
Median income$131,591
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
39
th percentile
Low
Within state
72
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across St. Paul and the region
Centroid at 44.9414, -93.1517 · click any tract to drill in
Why Lexington - Hamline scores 5.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from St. Paul
9.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
6.7% poverty · this tract
1.7
Supply constraint
$1,218 rent vs county FMR
2.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from St. Paul
8.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from St. Paul
8.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from St. Paul
7.5
How Lexington - Hamline compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 12
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 13%Socioeconomic
- 2%Household composition
- 32%Racial/ethnic minority
- 57%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 1%Grade A
- 51%Grade B
- 38%Grade C
- 10%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 89Total filings over 7 yrs
- 1.65%Avg annual filing rate
- 2.9%Peak (2010)
- 9Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 7 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 74Total filings 2020-21
- 1.0Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.9Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.02×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Minneapolis-Saint Paul, MN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Lexington - Hamline. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 7.2%Housing insecurity
- 4.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 8.0%Food insecurity
- 4.8%SNAP enrollment
- 5.7%Transit barriers
- 4.9%No health insurance
- 15.0%Frequent mental distress
- 20.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Lexington - Hamline
Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.5/10. Cost burden runs 37% here against 47.3% across Ramsey County.
Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.5/10. 16% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
SNAP participation runs 4.8% against 15.2% nationally. Food insecurity runs 8.0% against 17.8% nationally.
Court records carry 89 eviction filings across 7 observed years. Filings peaked in 2010 at 2.9% of renter households.
In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground B ("Still Desirable"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. In a typical year about 1.7% of renter households face a filing.
On the national scale it lands near the 63rd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 2/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
Rent consumes only 11% of average household income of $131,591, an unusually wide affordability cushion. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.
It tracks the Ramsey County average of 5.6 closely.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 27123035300
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27123035300?
Census tract 27123035300 in the Lexington - Hamline neighborhood scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 27123035300?
Median gross rent is $1,218/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 37% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 27123035300?
6.7% of residents in tract 27123035300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,952.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 27123035300?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 12th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 13th, household 2th, minority 32th, housing 57th.
Q5
Is tract 27123035300 considered part of Lexington - Hamline?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 27123035300 fall within Lexington - Hamline (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27123035300?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 89 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 27123035300 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.65% of renter households, peaking at 2.9% in 2010. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 27123035300 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.02× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Minneapolis eviction risk-Saint Paul, MN), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 27123035300 struggle to pay rent?
About 7.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 27123035300 compare to St. Paul overall?
Tract 27123035300 scores 5.1/10, lower than the parent city of St. Paul at 6.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from St. Paul eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q10
Was tract 27123035300 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 10% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in St. Paul
Top eight tracts in St. Paul ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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