Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Census Tract · Ranked #22,681 of 84,120 nationally
New Brighton Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 27123041107 · Ramsey County, MN · pop 6,244
With a score of 5.6/10, tract 27123041107 in New Brighton, MN reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. The severe-burden share is 21%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
5.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 26%
Stable renters 25%
Owners 49%
Tract context
Occupied units2,582
Renter share51.5%
SVI overall0.64
Poverty rate17.4%
Median income$66,623
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
48
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
81
th percentile
High
National
73
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across New Brighton and the region
Centroid at 45.0442, -93.2009 · click any tract to drill in
Why New Brighton scores 5.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from New Brighton
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
17.4% poverty · this tract
4.4
Supply constraint
$1,376 rent vs county FMR
3.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from New Brighton
7.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from New Brighton
7.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from New Brighton
6.2
How New Brighton compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 64
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 38%Socioeconomic
- 64%Household composition
- 63%Racial/ethnic minority
- 84%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 215Total filings over 7 yrs
- 2.35%Avg annual filing rate
- 2.6%Peak (2013)
- 26Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 19% over the past 7 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 220Total filings 2020-21
- 2.9Avg monthly (observed)
- 3.3Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.86×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Minneapolis-Saint Paul, MN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 11.4%Housing insecurity
- 7.5%Utility-shutoff threat
- 14.6%Food insecurity
- 10.5%SNAP enrollment
- 9.1%Transit barriers
- 7.1%No health insurance
- 16.8%Frequent mental distress
- 28.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in New Brighton
What pushes it up most is local political climate at 7.5/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 7.5/10.
Running hot, regional political climate reads 7.3/10. Court records carry 215 eviction filings across 7 observed years.
The worst year on record was 2013, when 2.6% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 2.4% of renter households face a filing.
That is riskier than roughly 73% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 6.8/10.
Statewide the MN average is 4.5, so this tract runs 1.1 points hotter. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.
roughly one in two of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 27123041107
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27123041107?
Census tract 27123041107 in New Brighton scores 5.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 27123041107?
Median gross rent is $1,376/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 27123041107?
17.4% of residents in tract 27123041107 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,244.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 27123041107?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 64th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 38th, household 64th, minority 63th, housing 84th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27123041107?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 215 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 27123041107 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.35% of renter households, peaking at 2.6% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 27123041107 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.86× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Minneapolis eviction risk-Saint Paul, MN), 2020-2021.
Q7
What share of households in tract 27123041107 struggle to pay rent?
About 11.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 27123041107 compare to New Brighton overall?
Tract 27123041107 scores 5.6/10, higher than the parent city of New Brighton at 4.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from New Brighton eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in New Brighton
Top eight tracts in New Brighton ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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