Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #9,043 of 84,120 nationally
Greater East Side Eviction Risk: Elevated , St. Paul
Tract 27123030704 · Ramsey County, MN · pop 4,505 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi
Census tract 27123030704 covers part of the Greater East Side area of St. Paul, MN, and scores 7.8/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 4,505 residents. Severe burden reaches 27%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Risk score
7.8
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 23%
Stable renters 31%
Owners 46%
Tract context
Occupied units1,525
Renter share54.0%
SVI overall0.88
Poverty rate22.2%
Median income$73,259
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
73
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
83
th percentile
High
Within state
95
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across St. Paul and the region
Centroid at 44.9793, -93.0367 · click any tract to drill in
Why Greater East Side scores 7.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from St. Paul
9.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
22.2% poverty · this tract
5.5
Supply constraint
$1,183 rent vs county FMR
2.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from St. Paul
8.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from St. Paul
8.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from St. Paul
7.5
How Greater East Side compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 88
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 72%Socioeconomic
- 77%Household composition
- 80%Racial/ethnic minority
- 95%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 342Total filings over 7 yrs
- 7.27%Avg annual filing rate
- 10.9%Peak (2009)
- 32Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 50% over the past 7 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 314Total filings 2020-21
- 4.1Avg monthly (observed)
- 3.1Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.32×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Minneapolis-Saint Paul, MN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Greater East Side. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 18.0%Housing insecurity
- 10.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 26.9%Food insecurity
- 18.2%SNAP enrollment
- 13.8%Transit barriers
- 12.9%No health insurance
- 18.3%Frequent mental distress
- 31.4%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Greater East Side
The score leans hardest on local political climate at 9/10. It sits 2.2 points above the Ramsey County average of 5.6. Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.5/10.
Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.5/10. The poverty rate is 22%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Food insecurity runs 26.9% against 17.8% nationally.
Court records carry 342 eviction filings across 7 observed years. Cost burden runs 43% here against 47.3% across Ramsey County.
Filings peaked in 2009 at 10.9% of renter households. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground B ("Still Desirable"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. In a typical year about 7.3% of renter households face a filing.
That is riskier than roughly 89% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 27123030704
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27123030704?
Census tract 27123030704 in the Greater East Side neighborhood scores 7.8/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 27123030704?
Median gross rent is $1,183/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 43% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 27123030704?
22.2% of residents in tract 27123030704 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,505.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 27123030704?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 88th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 72th, household 77th, minority 80th, housing 95th.
Q5
Is tract 27123030704 considered part of Greater East Side?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 27123030704 fall within Greater East Side (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27123030704?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 342 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 27123030704 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 7.27% of renter households, peaking at 10.9% in 2009. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 27123030704 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.32× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Minneapolis eviction risk-Saint Paul, MN), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 27123030704 struggle to pay rent?
About 18.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 27123030704 compare to St. Paul overall?
Tract 27123030704 scores 7.8/10, higher than the parent city of St. Paul at 6.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from St. Paul eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q10
Was tract 27123030704 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in St. Paul
Top eight tracts in St. Paul ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · MN
South Saint Anthony Park
7.9
/ 10 · High
Tract · MN
Rondo
7.9
/ 10 · High
Tract · MN
Iris Park
7.9
/ 10 · High
Tract · MN
Highwood Hills
7.9
/ 10 · High
Tract · MN
Rondo
7.9
/ 10 · High
Tract · MN
Rondo
7.9
/ 10 · High
Tract · MN
Payne - Phalen
7.9
/ 10 · High
Tract · MN
Rondo
7.9
/ 10 · High
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