Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Census Tract · Ranked #29,336 of 84,120 nationally
Cottage Grove Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 27163071210 · Washington County, MN · pop 4,792
27163071210 is a census tract in Cottage Grove, MN. It scores 5.2/10 for landlords. Against Washington County at 44.0%, 74% of renters here are cost-burdened.
Risk score
5.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 23%
Stable renters 8%
Owners 69%
Tract context
Occupied units2,017
Renter share30.3%
SVI overall0.31
Poverty rate10.1%
Median income$87,147
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
86
th percentile
High
Within state
74
th percentile
Elevated
National
65
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Cottage Grove and the region
Centroid at 44.8384, -92.9562 · click any tract to drill in
Why Cottage Grove scores 5.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Cottage Grove
6.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.5
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
10.1% poverty · this tract
2.5
Supply constraint
$1,449 rent vs county FMR
3.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Cottage Grove
7.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Cottage Grove
3.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Cottage Grove
5.3
How Cottage Grove compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 31
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 32%Socioeconomic
- 27%Household composition
- 37%Racial/ethnic minority
- 43%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 9.1%Housing insecurity
- 5.6%Utility-shutoff threat
- 10.6%Food insecurity
- 6.9%SNAP enrollment
- 6.6%Transit barriers
- 6.9%No health insurance
- 14.4%Frequent mental distress
- 25.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Cottage Grove
The severe-burden share is 22%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. The dominant input is rent-regulation exposure at 7.7/10.
On the softer side, economic stress reads 2.5/10. Average gross rent is $1,449, 19% below the Cottage Grove average. Against the Washington County average of 4.1, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.1 points.
SNAP participation runs 6.9% against 15.2% nationally. Food insecurity runs 10.6% against 17.8% nationally.
Running cool, tenant-organizing strength reads 3.1/10. That is riskier than roughly 65% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 3.8/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
Annual rent works out to 20% of average household income of $87,147. 30% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 27163071210
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27163071210?
Census tract 27163071210 in Cottage Grove scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 27163071210?
Median gross rent is $1,449/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 74% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 27163071210?
10.1% of residents in tract 27163071210 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,792.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 27163071210?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 31th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 32th, household 27th, minority 37th, housing 43th.
Q5
What share of households in tract 27163071210 struggle to pay rent?
About 9.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 27163071210 compare to Cottage Grove overall?
Tract 27163071210 scores 5.2/10, higher than the parent city of Cottage Grove at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Cottage Grove eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Cottage Grove
Top eight tracts in Cottage Grove ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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