Within parent city
60
th percentile
Elevated
Census Tract · Ranked #54,273 of 84,120 nationally
Cottage Grove Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 27163071208 · Washington County, MN · pop 6,226
With a score of 3.7/10, tract 27163071208 in Cottage Grove, MN reads lower for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 6,226 residents. The main counterweight is economic stress at 1/10.
Risk score
3.7
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 6%
Stable renters 6%
Owners 88%
Tract context
Occupied units2,056
Renter share11.8%
SVI overall0.31
Poverty rate3.1%
Median income$116,667
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
41
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
39
th percentile
Low
National
36
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Cottage Grove and the region
Centroid at 44.8273, -92.9398 · click any tract to drill in
Why Cottage Grove scores 3.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Cottage Grove
6.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.5
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
3.1% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,432 rent vs county FMR
3.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Cottage Grove
7.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Cottage Grove
3.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Cottage Grove
5.3
How Cottage Grove compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 31
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 23%Socioeconomic
- 50%Household composition
- 43%Racial/ethnic minority
- 37%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 37Total filings over 3 yrs
- 5.37%Avg annual filing rate
- 8.0%Peak (2010)
- 7Filings in 2012 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 9.1%Housing insecurity
- 5.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 10.7%Food insecurity
- 6.8%SNAP enrollment
- 6.6%Transit barriers
- 7.8%No health insurance
- 15.1%Frequent mental distress
- 26.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Cottage Grove
On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.7/10. At $1,432 a month, rents run 20% under what the rest of Cottage Grove commands.
50% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, higher than the Washington County average of 44.0%. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 37 filings here across 3 tracked years. SNAP participation runs 6.8% against 15.2% nationally.
Food insecurity runs 10.7% against 17.8% nationally. On the softer side, tenant-organizing strength reads 3.1/10. The worst year on record was 2010, when 8.0% of renter households were served.
In a typical year about 5.4% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #54,273 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
Only 12% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 3.8/10. Rent consumes only 15% of average household income of $116,667, an unusually wide affordability cushion.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 27163071208
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27163071208?
Census tract 27163071208 in Cottage Grove scores 3.7/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 27163071208?
Median gross rent is $1,432/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 27163071208?
3.1% of residents in tract 27163071208 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,226.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 27163071208?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 31th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 23th, household 50th, minority 43th, housing 37th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27163071208?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 37 eviction filings across 3 validated years in tract 27163071208 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.37% of renter households, peaking at 8.0% in 2010. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
What share of households in tract 27163071208 struggle to pay rent?
About 9.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 27163071208 compare to Cottage Grove overall?
Tract 27163071208 scores 3.7/10, lower than the parent city of Cottage Grove at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Cottage Grove eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Cottage Grove
Top eight tracts in Cottage Grove ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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