Within parent city
60
th percentile
Elevated
Census Tract · Ranked #79,998 of 84,120 nationally
Cottage Grove Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 27163071208 · Washington County, MN · pop 6,226
For landlords sizing up Cottage Grove, census tract 27163071208 carries a moderate eviction-risk score of 5.4/10. That is riskier than about 53% of US census tracts.
About 50% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 5% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,432 a month while the average household earns $116,667 a year, roughly 15% of income at the averages. About 12% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
1.4
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 6%
Stable renters 6%
Owners 88%
Tract context
Occupied units2,056
Renter share11.8%
SVI overall0.31
Poverty rate3.1%
Median income$116,667
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
35
th percentile
Low
Within state
12
th percentile
Very Low
National
5
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Cottage Grove and the region
Centroid at 44.8273, -92.9398 · click any tract to drill in
Why Cottage Grove scores 1.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Cottage Grove
6.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.5
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
3.1% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,432 rent vs county FMR
3.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Cottage Grove
7.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Cottage Grove
3.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Cottage Grove
5.3
How Cottage Grove compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 31
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 23%Socioeconomic
- 50%Household composition
- 43%Racial/ethnic minority
- 37%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 37Total filings over 3 yrs
- 5.37%Avg annual filing rate
- 8.0%Peak (2010)
- 7Filings in 2012 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 9.1%Housing insecurity
- 5.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 10.7%Food insecurity
- 6.8%SNAP enrollment
- 6.6%Transit barriers
- 7.8%No health insurance
- 15.1%Frequent mental distress
- 26.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Cottage Grove
What moves this score most is rent-control risk at 7.7/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Cottage Grove eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Washington County average of 5.1 and above the Minnesota statewide average of 5.0. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 31st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 37 eviction filings here over 3 tracked years, with about 5.4% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 8.0% of renter households in 2010.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 27163071208
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27163071208?
Census tract 27163071208 in Cottage Grove scores 1.4/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 27163071208?
Median gross rent is $1,432/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 27163071208?
3.1% of residents in tract 27163071208 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,226.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 27163071208?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 31th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 23th, household 50th, minority 43th, housing 37th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27163071208?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 37 eviction filings across 3 validated years in tract 27163071208 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.37% of renter households, peaking at 8.0% in 2010. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
What share of households in tract 27163071208 struggle to pay rent?
About 9.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 27163071208 compare to Cottage Grove overall?
Tract 27163071208 scores 1.4/10, lower than the parent city of Cottage Grove at 4.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Cottage Grove eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Cottage Grove
Top eight tracts in Cottage Grove ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Related