Within parent city
20
th percentile
Low
Census Tract · Ranked #61,558 of 84,120 nationally
Cottage Grove Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 27163071209 · Washington County, MN · pop 5,906
Census tract 27163071209 covers part of Cottage Grove, MN, and scores 3.3/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 5,906. The clearest offset is economic stress at 1/10.
Risk score
3.3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 2%
Stable renters 3%
Owners 95%
Tract context
Occupied units2,046
Renter share5.2%
SVI overall0.04
Poverty rate3.4%
Median income$134,932
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
24
th percentile
Low
Within state
28
th percentile
Low
National
27
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Cottage Grove and the region
Centroid at 44.8211, -92.9184 · click any tract to drill in
Why Cottage Grove scores 3.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Cottage Grove
6.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.5
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
3.4% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,442 rent vs county FMR
3.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Cottage Grove
7.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Cottage Grove
3.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Cottage Grove
5.3
How Cottage Grove compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 4
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 1%Socioeconomic
- 35%Household composition
- 34%Racial/ethnic minority
- 8%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 26Total filings over 3 yrs
- 5.14%Avg annual filing rate
- 8.0%Peak (2012)
- 14Filings in 2012 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 8.3%Housing insecurity
- 5.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 8.9%Food insecurity
- 5.7%SNAP enrollment
- 5.9%Transit barriers
- 5.6%No health insurance
- 14.8%Frequent mental distress
- 22.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Cottage Grove
Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.7/10. Average gross rent is $1,442, 19% below the Cottage Grove average. SNAP participation runs 5.7% against 15.2% nationally.
Food insecurity runs 8.9% against 17.8% nationally. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 26 filings here across 3 tracked years. Cost burden runs roughly one in two here against 44.0% across Washington County.
Against the Washington County average of 4.1, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.8 points. Running cool, tenant-organizing strength reads 3.1/10.
Filings peaked in 2012 at 8.0% of renter households. In a typical year about 5.1% of renter households face a filing.
That is riskier than roughly 27% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 27163071209
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27163071209?
Census tract 27163071209 in Cottage Grove scores 3.3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 27163071209?
Median gross rent is $1,442/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 27163071209?
3.4% of residents in tract 27163071209 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,906.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 27163071209?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 4th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 1th, household 35th, minority 34th, housing 8th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27163071209?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 26 eviction filings across 3 validated years in tract 27163071209 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.14% of renter households, peaking at 8.0% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
What share of households in tract 27163071209 struggle to pay rent?
About 8.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 27163071209 compare to Cottage Grove overall?
Tract 27163071209 scores 3.3/10, lower than the parent city of Cottage Grove at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Cottage Grove eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Cottage Grove
Top eight tracts in Cottage Grove ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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