Within parent city
80
th percentile
High
Census Tract · Ranked #79,124 of 84,120 nationally
Cottage Grove Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 27163071400 · Washington County, MN · pop 8,131 · 83% of tract blocks fall in Cottage Grove
For landlords sizing up Cottage Grove in Washington County, census tract 27163071400 carries a moderate eviction-risk score of 5.5/10. It lands near the 57th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 46% of renter households, a severe level, and 35% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $2,148 a month against an average household income of $110,227 a year, roughly 23% of income at the averages. Renters make up 11% of occupied homes.
Risk score
1.5
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 5%
Stable renters 6%
Owners 89%
Tract context
Occupied units3,190
Renter share11.2%
SVI overall0.19
Poverty rate2.5%
Median income$110,227
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
53
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
14
th percentile
Very Low
National
6
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Cottage Grove and the region
Centroid at 44.7953, -92.9541 · click any tract to drill in
Why Cottage Grove scores 1.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Cottage Grove
6.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.5
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
2.5% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,148 rent vs county FMR
7.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Cottage Grove
7.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Cottage Grove
3.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Cottage Grove
5.3
How Cottage Grove compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 19
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 4%Socioeconomic
- 56%Household composition
- 34%Racial/ethnic minority
- 37%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 35Total filings over 3 yrs
- 3.63%Avg annual filing rate
- 4.0%Peak (2012)
- 14Filings in 2012 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 7.8%Housing insecurity
- 4.6%Utility-shutoff threat
- 8.7%Food insecurity
- 5.4%SNAP enrollment
- 5.6%Transit barriers
- 6.3%No health insurance
- 13.8%Frequent mental distress
- 24.7%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Cottage Grove
The score leans hardest on supply constraint at 7.7/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Cottage Grove eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Washington County average of 5.1 and above the Minnesota statewide average of 5.0. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 19th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 35 eviction filings here over 3 tracked years, with about 3.6% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 4.0% of renter households in 2012.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 27163071400
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27163071400?
Census tract 27163071400 in Cottage Grove scores 1.5/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 27163071400?
Median gross rent is $2,148/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 27163071400?
2.5% of residents in tract 27163071400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 8,131.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 27163071400?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 19th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 4th, household 56th, minority 34th, housing 37th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27163071400?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 35 eviction filings across 3 validated years in tract 27163071400 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.63% of renter households, peaking at 4.0% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
What share of households in tract 27163071400 struggle to pay rent?
About 7.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 27163071400 compare to Cottage Grove overall?
Tract 27163071400 scores 1.5/10, lower than the parent city of Cottage Grove at 4.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Cottage Grove eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Cottage Grove
Top eight tracts in Cottage Grove ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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