Within parent city
80
th percentile
High
Census Tract · Ranked #52,479 of 84,120 nationally
Cottage Grove Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 27163071400 · Washington County, MN · pop 8,131 · 83% of tract blocks fall in Cottage Grove
With a score of 3.8/10, tract 27163071400 in Cottage Grove, MN reads lower for landlord eviction risk. The severe-burden share is 35%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
3.8
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 5%
Stable renters 6%
Owners 89%
Tract context
Occupied units3,190
Renter share11.2%
SVI overall0.19
Poverty rate2.5%
Median income$110,227
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
47
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
42
th percentile
Moderate
National
38
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Cottage Grove and the region
Centroid at 44.7953, -92.9541 · click any tract to drill in
Why Cottage Grove scores 3.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Cottage Grove
6.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.5
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
2.5% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,148 rent vs county FMR
7.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Cottage Grove
7.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Cottage Grove
3.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Cottage Grove
5.3
How Cottage Grove compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 19
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 4%Socioeconomic
- 56%Household composition
- 34%Racial/ethnic minority
- 37%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 35Total filings over 3 yrs
- 3.63%Avg annual filing rate
- 4.0%Peak (2012)
- 14Filings in 2012 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 7.8%Housing insecurity
- 4.6%Utility-shutoff threat
- 8.7%Food insecurity
- 5.4%SNAP enrollment
- 5.6%Transit barriers
- 6.3%No health insurance
- 13.8%Frequent mental distress
- 24.7%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Cottage Grove
The clearest offset is economic stress at 1/10. The voucher gap is 27.5%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.7/10.
At $2,148 a month, rents run 20% over what the rest of Cottage Grove commands. On the high side, supply constraint reads 7.7/10.
SNAP participation runs 5.4% against 15.2% nationally. Food insecurity runs 8.7% against 17.8% nationally.
The filing record is not thin: 35 evictions over 3 years of observation. The worst year on record was 2012, when 4.0% of renter households were served.
In a typical year about 3.6% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 38th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Only 11% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.
Social vulnerability reads 2.7/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 27163071400
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27163071400?
Census tract 27163071400 in Cottage Grove scores 3.8/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 27163071400?
Median gross rent is $2,148/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 27163071400?
2.5% of residents in tract 27163071400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 8,131.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 27163071400?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 19th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 4th, household 56th, minority 34th, housing 37th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27163071400?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 35 eviction filings across 3 validated years in tract 27163071400 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.63% of renter households, peaking at 4.0% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
What share of households in tract 27163071400 struggle to pay rent?
About 7.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 27163071400 compare to Cottage Grove overall?
Tract 27163071400 scores 3.8/10, right in line with the parent city of Cottage Grove at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Cottage Grove eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Cottage Grove
Top eight tracts in Cottage Grove ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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