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Neighborhood · Springfield, MO

Midtown Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 4,447 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.8/10 · range 4.8–4.8

Midtown maps to a single census tract in Springfield, MO, population 4,447. The Eviction Risk Score is 4.8/10, in the Moderate tier. The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure, at 1/10.

Against a Springfield baseline of 29.4%, 40% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line. 66% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building two streets over.

Well under the midpoint is tenant-organizing strength, at 2/10. The severe-burden share is 17%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay.

The poverty rate is 24%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than the filing statistics suggest. At $776 a month, rents sit 20% under what the rest of Springfield commands.

The filing record is not thin: 680 evictions logged in this tract. On the softer side is eviction-process difficulty, at 2.5/10. Filing activity peaked in 2012 at 10.0% of renter households.

Recent filings have not receded much: 9.4% in 2017 against a 10.0% peak. That places it #1 of 25 neighborhoods in Springfield. The closest comparables inside the same city are Tom Watkins and Robberson.

Against average income of $47,354, annual rent is only 20%, a wide affordability cushion.

One tract means one number: 4.8/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
4.8
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
Midtown vs Springfield How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
40.1% +36%
Springfield: 29.4%
Average gross rent
$776 -20%
Springfield: $964
Average HH income
$47,354 +3%
Springfield: $45,984
Poverty rate
23.8% +23%
Springfield: 19.4%
Renter share
66.3% +18%
Springfield: 56.1%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Midtown and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 4.8–4.8

Why Midtown scores 4.8

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 2.1–2.1 across tracts
2.1
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts
4.0
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Rent control risk
40% of income on rent · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
66% renter households · Range 2.0–2.0 across tracts
2.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts
2.5
Economic stress
23.8% below poverty line · Range 5.9–5.9 across tracts
5.9
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.8–2.8 across tracts
2.8
Risk score comparison

Midtown vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Midtown score vs. parent city, state, U.S.4.8MidtownNeighborhood3.4Parent cityhost city3.7Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Midtown

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
29077000700 4.8 4,447 40% $776
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 60

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 80%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 5%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 27%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 84%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Midtown

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 680Total filings (sum)
  • 8.59%Avg annual filing rate
  • 10.0%Peak year (2012)
  • 9.42%Latest filed (2017)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Midtown

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Midtown

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Midtown?

Midtown scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Midtown compare to Springfield overall?

Midtown scores 1.4 points higher than Springfield overall (3.4/10). Renters spend 40% of income on rent vs 29% citywide. Average rent: $776 vs $964.
Q3

What is the average rent in Midtown?

Average gross rent in Midtown is $776/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 40% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Midtown residents are renters?

66% of Midtown households are renter-occupied (vs 56% in Springfield). The neighborhood has 4,447 residents.
Q5

Is Midtown a high social-vulnerability area?

Midtown sits in the 60th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Midtown for landlords?

Midtown carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.8/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Springfield as a whole (3.4/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Midtown?

Midtown has 4,511 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (83.3%), Black (non-Hispanic) (7.6%), Other / Multiracial (6.8%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Midtown

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Springfield

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Midtown.

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