Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #35,669 of 84,120 nationally
Midtown Eviction Risk: Moderate , Springfield
Tract 29077000700 · Greene County, MO · pop 4,447 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
With a score of 4.8/10, tract 29077000700 in the Midtown area of Springfield, MO reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 4,447. The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.
Risk score
4.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 27%
Stable renters 40%
Owners 33%
Tract context
Occupied units1,223
Renter share66.3%
SVI overall0.60
Poverty rate23.8%
Median income$47,354
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
98
th percentile
Very High
Within county
77
th percentile
High
Within state
83
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Springfield and the region
Centroid at 37.2208, -93.2838 · click any tract to drill in
Why Midtown scores 4.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Springfield
3.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.0
State political climate
Missouri legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
23.8% poverty · this tract
5.9
Supply constraint
$776 rent vs county FMR
2.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Springfield
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Springfield
2.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Springfield
2.5
How Midtown compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 60
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 80%Socioeconomic
- 5%Household composition
- 27%Racial/ethnic minority
- 84%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 28%Grade C
- 42%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 680Total filings over 9 yrs
- 8.59%Avg annual filing rate
- 10.0%Peak (2012)
- 84Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 83% over the past 9 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 15.8%Housing insecurity
- 12.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 19.0%Food insecurity
- 14.7%SNAP enrollment
- 12.7%Transit barriers
- 10.1%No health insurance
- 23.1%Frequent mental distress
- 37.7%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Midtown
This is renter territory: 66% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. Running cool, tenant-organizing strength reads 2/10. 17% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
The poverty rate is 24%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 7.9/10.
Average gross rent is $776, 20% below the Springfield average. It sits 1.1 points above the Greene County average of 3.7.
Court records carry 680 eviction filings across 9 observed years. The worst year on record was 2012, when 10.0% of renter households were served. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.
In a typical year about 8.6% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #35,669 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 6.4/10. Statewide the MO average is 3.8, so this tract runs 1.0 points hotter.
Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 29077000700
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 29077000700?
Census tract 29077000700 in the Midtown neighborhood scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 29077000700?
Median gross rent is $776/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 40% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 29077000700?
23.8% of residents in tract 29077000700 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,447.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 29077000700?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 60th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 80th, household 5th, minority 27th, housing 84th.
Q5
Is tract 29077000700 considered part of Midtown?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 29077000700 fall within Midtown (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 29077000700?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 680 eviction filings across 9 validated years in tract 29077000700 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 8.59% of renter households, peaking at 10.0% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 29077000700 struggle to pay rent?
About 15.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 12.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 29077000700 compare to Springfield overall?
Tract 29077000700 scores 4.8/10, higher than the parent city of Springfield at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Springfield eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 29077000700 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 42% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Springfield
Top eight tracts in Springfield ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · MO
Heart of the Westside
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MO
Fassnight
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MO
Woodland Heights
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MO
West Central
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MO
West Central
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MO
Grant Beach
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MO
Robberson
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MO
Weller
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
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