Within parent city
82
th percentile
High
Census Tract · Ranked #47,371 of 84,120 nationally
O'Fallon Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 29183311802 · St. Charles County, MO · pop 5,864 · 80% of tract blocks fall in O'Fallon
With a score of 4.1/10, tract 29183311802 in O'Fallon, MO reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. The main counterweight is eviction-process difficulty at 1.6/10.
Risk score
4.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 13%
Stable renters 17%
Owners 70%
Tract context
Occupied units2,451
Renter share29.6%
SVI overall0.38
Poverty rate7.1%
Median income$77,294
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
83
th percentile
High
Within state
66
th percentile
Elevated
National
44
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across O'Fallon and the region
Centroid at 38.8130, -90.7262 · click any tract to drill in
Why O'Fallon scores 4.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from O'Fallon
4.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.1
State political climate
Missouri legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
7.1% poverty · this tract
1.8
Supply constraint
$1,118 rent vs county FMR
4.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from O'Fallon
4.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from O'Fallon
4.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from O'Fallon
3.6
How O'Fallon compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 38
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 20%Socioeconomic
- 64%Household composition
- 19%Racial/ethnic minority
- 61%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 400Total filings over 11 yrs
- 5.69%Avg annual filing rate
- 7.6%Peak (2010)
- 42Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 45% over the past 11 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 8.8%Housing insecurity
- 6.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 9.6%Food insecurity
- 6.9%SNAP enrollment
- 6.3%Transit barriers
- 6.9%No health insurance
- 15.3%Frequent mental distress
- 36.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in O'Fallon
The severe-burden share is 22%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Running cool, economic stress reads 1.8/10. Average gross rent is $1,118, 23% below the O'Fallon average.
Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 2.1/10. Against St. Charles County at 36.4%, 42% of renters here are cost-burdened.
The filing record is not thin: 400 evictions over 11 years of observation. SNAP participation runs 6.9% against 15.2% nationally.
Food insecurity runs 9.6% against 17.8% nationally. The worst year on record was 2010, when 7.6% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 5.7% of renter households face a filing.
Nationally it ranks #47,371 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Social vulnerability reads 4.4/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
Rent consumes only 17% of average household income of $77,294, an unusually wide affordability cushion. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 29183311802
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 29183311802?
Census tract 29183311802 in O'Fallon scores 4.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 29183311802?
Median gross rent is $1,118/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 42% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 29183311802?
7.1% of residents in tract 29183311802 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,864.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 29183311802?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 38th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 20th, household 64th, minority 19th, housing 61th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 29183311802?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 400 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 29183311802 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.69% of renter households, peaking at 7.6% in 2010. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
What share of households in tract 29183311802 struggle to pay rent?
About 8.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 29183311802 compare to O'Fallon overall?
Tract 29183311802 scores 4.1/10, higher than the parent city of O'Fallon at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from O'Fallon eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in O'Fallon
Top eight tracts in O'Fallon ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · MO
29183311907
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MO
29183311602
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MO
29183311603
4.5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MO
29183312207
4.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MO
29183311738
3.8
/ 10 · Low
Tract · MO
29183311733
3.6
/ 10 · Low
Tract · MO
29183980000
3.2
/ 10 · Low
Tract · MO
29183311604
3.1
/ 10 · Low
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